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Shay Whitcomb

SF · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Shay Whitcomb · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.286.286.286.386.23314.3%0.0%21.4%86.3103.20.0%16.7%16.7%
Last 15 G1024.250.250.250.274.23916.7%0.0%21.4%86.4105.05.3%26.3%31.6%
Last 30 G1633.212.212.242.236.24221.2%0.0%22.2%86.6107.98.0%28.0%32.0%
90 days1633.212.212.242.236.24221.2%0.0%22.2%86.6107.98.0%28.0%32.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 25 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 24%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.100.182.100.145.22454.5%9.1%42.3%93.2105.10.0%50.0%75.0%
Last 15 G1231.267.290.400.302.33222.6%3.2%22.6%87.2105.88.7%39.1%43.5%
Last 30 G2260.200.241.345.279.28125.0%5.0%22.6%82.4105.87.1%33.3%33.3%
90 days2260.200.241.345.279.28125.0%5.0%22.6%82.4105.87.1%33.3%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 42 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 17%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.176.222.176.239.22838.9%5.6%35.0%89.1105.10.0%30.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1555.259.273.333.290.29220.0%1.8%22.1%86.8105.87.1%33.3%38.1%
Last 30 G2693.205.231.307.264.26723.7%3.2%22.5%84.0107.97.5%31.3%32.8%
90 days2693.205.231.307.264.26723.7%3.2%22.5%84.0107.97.5%31.3%32.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 67 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 19%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 12%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPSinker96.581.555.032Single
Sep 23LHPCurveball85.570.627.873Single
Sep 23RHPSweeper85.179.9-16.058Out
Sep 22RHPFastball98.099.416.623Out
Sep 22RHPFastball95.7105.111.906Single
Sep 20RHPSlider87.388.323.184Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup87.079.10.165Error
Sep 19LHPSlider88.090.738.036Out
Sep 19LHPFastball95.693.0-8.189Out
Sep 19LHPSlider88.3103.2-7.338Out
Sep 16LHPChangeup87.666.2-22.047Single
Sep 16LHPFastball93.365.9-14.051Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23422001
Sep 22411011
Sep 20300001
Sep 19400001
Sep 18300003
Sep 16622000
Sep 15100001
Sep 14311001
Sep 13422000
Sep 12314100
FormNormal
Contact rating23Poor
Last 100 pitches33trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.257 / .289running 32 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.270
Barrel%4.7%
Hard-hit%22.4%
K%24.6%
BB%4.9%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Shay Whitcomb · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Shay Whitcomb · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Tyler Glasnow: 48.8% · no hitSep 19 vs Tarik Skubal: 46.2% · no hitSep 22 vs Taj Bradley: 43.1% · 1 HSep 23 vs Connor Prielipp: 53.7% · 2 HSep 25 vs Tarik Skubal: 52.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 1.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 4BTB expected 1.9
Games with 2+ TB1 of 4BTB expected 1.1
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeFwOBA .270 · K% 24.6%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Tarik Skubal52.9%26.4%7.3%not settled
Sep 23Connor Prielipp53.7%27.4%9.2%4220
Sep 22Taj Bradley43.1%23.2%8.0%4110
Sep 19Tarik Skubal46.2%29.0%11.0%4000
Sep 18Tyler Glasnow48.8%27.4%10.7%3000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.