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Tyler Stephenson
CIN · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handTyler Stephenson · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 10 | .222 | .300 | .333 | .285 | .230 | 30.0% | 10.0% | 29.4% | 88.3 | 97.9 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 33.3% |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 27 | .261 | .333 | .304 | .291 | .274 | 22.2% | 7.4% | 24.4% | 87.9 | 103.6 | 5.6% | 33.3% | 27.8% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 73 | .246 | .329 | .361 | .305 | .269 | 31.5% | 11.0% | 29.6% | 90.0 | 106.2 | 9.8% | 36.6% | 39.0% |
| 90 days | 62 | 172 | .286 | .343 | .500 | .365 | .330 | 30.8% | 7.0% | 27.9% | 91.1 | 106.2 | 13.7% | 44.1% | 41.2% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 102 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 28%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 8%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 7 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .102 | 28.6% | 0.0% | 26.7% | 91.7 | 104.5 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Last 15 G | 10 | 21 | .167 | .286 | .278 | .262 | .253 | 23.8% | 14.3% | 22.2% | 94.1 | 109.1 | 15.4% | 46.2% | 30.8% |
| Last 30 G | 21 | 40 | .250 | .325 | .472 | .345 | .268 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 23.5% | 91.9 | 109.1 | 7.7% | 38.5% | 34.6% |
| 90 days | 36 | 71 | .217 | .338 | .367 | .319 | .314 | 22.5% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 91.2 | 109.1 | 6.8% | 38.6% | 36.4% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 44 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 25%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 9%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 17 | .125 | .176 | .188 | .168 | .177 | 29.4% | 5.9% | 28.1% | 89.8 | 104.5 | 0.0% | 27.3% | 18.2% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 48 | .220 | .312 | .293 | .278 | .265 | 22.9% | 10.4% | 23.3% | 90.5 | 109.1 | 9.7% | 38.7% | 29.0% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 113 | .247 | .327 | .402 | .319 | .268 | 29.2% | 10.6% | 27.2% | 90.8 | 109.1 | 9.0% | 37.3% | 37.3% |
| 90 days | 66 | 243 | .266 | .342 | .463 | .351 | .326 | 28.4% | 9.5% | 24.8% | 91.1 | 109.1 | 11.6% | 42.5% | 39.7% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 146 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 27%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 8%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Fastball | 93.5 | 89.6 | -11 | .131 | Out |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Sinker | 94.0 | 90.2 | 63 | .008 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Sinker | 91.4 | 104.5 | -3 | .382 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Sinker | 92.4 | 86.7 | -24 | .065 | Force out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 90.7 | 92.1 | 18 | .560 | Double |
| Sep 20 | LHP | Slider | 87.7 | 81.5 | 40 | .013 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Fastball | 94.7 | 79.5 | 27 | .227 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Fastball | 93.3 | 95.5 | -4 | .308 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Fastball | 93.2 | 86.6 | 40 | .005 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Fastball | 99.9 | 84.1 | 5 | .323 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Sinker | 96.3 | 97.9 | -3 | .293 | Single |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Sweeper | 81.0 | 70.4 | 12 | .309 | Single |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
FormCold
Contact rating67Above average
Last 100 pitches5trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.350 / .332running 18 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.343
Barrel%7.1%
Hard-hit%25.7%
K%28.6%
BB%9.7%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA63.326
Avg EV8591.1
Max EV44109.1
Barrel%8611.6%
Hard-hit%6842.5%
Sweet-spot%8539.7%
K%1528.4%
BB%649.5%
Whiff%3224.8%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 3 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
5 settled gamesGames with a hit3 of 5BTB expected 2.9
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeBwOBA .343 · K% 28.6%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | Tyler Mahle | 58.3% | 28.6% | 11.9% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | JR Ritchie | 55.2% | 33.9% | 12.8% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | David Peterson | 56.1% | 36.0% | 12.6% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Matthew Boyd | 59.1% | 40.6% | 15.7% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Clay Holmes | 57.7% | 33.2% | 12.6% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |