MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 25, 2026
9:10 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup confirmed
Hitter · SEA · batting 8Weston Wilson
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedNormal
.266wOBA vs LHP.248xwOBA vs his mix3.4expected PA
Starter · LAAReid Detmers
Throws leftBTB Stuff 105Stable
6.2projected K30%K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Reid Detmers's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 47% usage, 94.0 mph, +8.9″ arm side, +16.9″ rise. Weston Wilson: wOBA .333 vs league .344 (about even).Fastball 47%Slider: 35% usage, 85.8 mph, -3.4″ arm side, -4.7″ rise. Weston Wilson: wOBA .284 vs league .295 (about even).Slider 35%Curveball: 12% usage, 72.2 mph, -11.6″ arm side, -14.6″ rise. Weston Wilson: wOBA .299 vs league .310 (about even).Curveball 12%Changeup: 7% usage, 84.0 mph, +10.9″ arm side, +11.3″ rise. Weston Wilson: wOBA .287 vs league .298 (about even).Changeup 7%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Weston Wilson's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Weston Wilson's last 40 balls in playHit (14)Out (26)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 90.8 mph at 56°Out: 94.0 mph at 32°Out: 56.5 mph at 6°Out: 82.4 mph at 32°Out: 78.2 mph at -21°Out: 56.9 mph at -46°Out: 97.0 mph at 8°Single: 87.6 mph at 12°Single: 75.5 mph at 46°Out: 72.9 mph at 65°Double: 82.4 mph at 21°Single: 84.3 mph at 23°Single: 100.8 mph at 12°Single: 94.4 mph at 6°Single: 96.5 mph at 12°Out: 80.2 mph at 48°Out: 72.0 mph at -11°Out: 95.4 mph at 6°Out: 90.9 mph at 48°Out: 77.9 mph at 42°Out: 73.1 mph at -1°Out: 95.8 mph at 51°Out: 76.8 mph at 11°Out: 81.1 mph at 7°Out: 95.9 mph at -6°Single: 81.5 mph at 8°Single: 106.8 mph at 4°Single: 103.7 mph at 8°Out: 101.7 mph at 5°Out: 86.0 mph at -23°Single: 97.9 mph at 16°Out: 90.3 mph at 45°Out: 68.7 mph at 12°Single: 97.5 mph at 11°Out: 41.0 mph at -40°Double: 101.3 mph at 19°Out: 98.2 mph at 24°Out: 49.2 mph at 32°Out: 95.2 mph at 23°Home run: 104.1 mph at 24°
38% hit 95+ mph48% in the sweet spot35% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit46.6%49.3%-2.7
2+ total bases24.1%25.4%-1.3
Home run9.3%8.8%+0.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-1.1
Pitch mix
-0.7
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
-0.1
Pitch mix
-0.6
Bullpen
+0.2
Park
-0.9
Home run
Starter
+0.8
Pitch mix
-0.3
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Zone battle

where he pitches, where Weston Wilson hits
Weston Wilson · hot and cold vs LHP
xwOBA .182 shrunk (raw .000 on 4 PA) · league .243 · 10 pitches seen.182xwOBA .260 shrunk (raw .114 on 3 PA) · league .296 · 14 pitches seen.260xwOBA .236 shrunk (raw .126 on 2 PA) · league .254 · 13 pitches seen.236xwOBA .274 shrunk (raw .191 on 5 PA) · league .308 · 20 pitches seen.274xwOBA .389 shrunk (raw .401 on 4 PA) · league .385 · 26 pitches seen.389xwOBA .271 shrunk (raw .179 on 9 PA) · league .340 · 18 pitches seen.271xwOBA .215 shrunk (raw .098 on 6 PA) · league .273 · 15 pitches seen.215xwOBA .415 shrunk (raw .544 on 6 PA) · league .350 · 18 pitches seen.415xwOBA .310 shrunk (raw .356 on 3 PA) · league .299 · 14 pitches seen.310xwOBA .252 shrunk (raw .193 on 10 PA) · league .302 · 34 pitches seen.252xwOBA .262 shrunk (raw .161 on 10 PA) · league .346 · 45 pitches seen.262xwOBA .333 shrunk (raw .440 on 5 PA) · league .289 · 63 pitches seen.333xwOBA .244 shrunk (raw .228 on 10 PA) · league .257 · 50 pitches seen.244
vs LHP · 340 pitches · catcher's view
Whiff 43% of 7 swings · league 19%43%Whiff 20% of 10 swings · league 21%20%Whiff 29% of 7 swings · league 23%29%Whiff 7% of 14 swings · league 9%7%Whiff 15% of 13 swings · league 10%15%Whiff 23% of 13 swings · league 11%23%Whiff 11% of 9 swings · league 17%11%Whiff 36% of 14 swings · league 14%36%Whiff 30% of 10 swings · league 16%30%Whiff 27% of 15 swings · league 25%27%Whiff 38% of 16 swings · league 29%38%Whiff 73% of 11 swings · league 48%73%Whiff 54% of 13 swings · league 34%54%
vs LHP · 340 pitches · catcher's view
Swings at 70% of 10 pitches · league 63%70%Swings at 71% of 14 pitches · league 71%71%Swings at 54% of 13 pitches · league 64%54%Swings at 70% of 20 pitches · league 67%70%Swings at 50% of 26 pitches · league 76%50%Swings at 72% of 18 pitches · league 72%72%Swings at 60% of 15 pitches · league 59%60%Swings at 78% of 18 pitches · league 68%78%Swings at 71% of 14 pitches · league 66%71%Swings at 44% of 34 pitches · league 30%44%Swings at 36% of 45 pitches · league 26%36%Swings at 18% of 63 pitches · league 31%18%Swings at 26% of 50 pitches · league 41%26%
vs LHP · 340 pitches · catcher's view

better for him than the league in that spot worse. Faded cells have little sample. Last 90 days; zone drawn at a fixed 1.5–3.5 ft.

Pitch by pitch

Weston Wilson against each of Reid Detmers's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball47%94.0+9″ / +17″.333.34423.2%18.4%20About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Slider35%85.8-3″ / -5″.284.29540.6%33.4%10About league average vs these
Curveball12%72.2-12″ / -15″.299.31034.9%28.1%2Little history vs this shape
Changeup7%84.0+11″ / +11″.287.29837.7%31.9%10About league average vs these; misses them more than most
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Weston Wilson · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 25, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.083.154.083.123.20838.5%7.7%26.7%80.197.00.0%14.3%42.9%
Last 15 G1536.147.194.147.189.17736.1%5.6%27.0%83.8106.80.0%23.8%23.8%
Last 30 G2868.148.235.213.226.23132.4%10.3%31.3%83.5106.82.6%30.8%30.8%
90 days3477.171.247.271.249.23035.1%9.1%30.9%84.1107.74.7%34.9%30.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 43 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 21%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G34.000.250.000.175.18450.0%25.0%28.6%82.482.40.0%0.0%100.0%
Last 15 G814.417.500.500.446.42028.6%14.3%28.0%90.5103.70.0%50.0%75.0%
Last 30 G1732.286.375.357.334.31237.5%12.5%26.3%85.7103.70.0%43.8%68.8%
90 days2449.250.327.386.317.25738.8%10.2%33.7%85.4103.74.0%32.0%56.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 25 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 36%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.067.176.067.135.20241.2%11.8%27.0%80.497.00.0%12.5%50.0%
Last 15 G1550.217.280.239.261.24534.0%8.0%27.3%85.6106.80.0%31.0%37.9%
Last 30 G30100.191.280.258.260.25734.0%11.0%29.8%84.1106.81.8%34.5%41.8%
90 days41126.202.278.316.275.24036.5%9.5%32.0%84.6107.74.4%33.8%39.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 68 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 27%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 6%
Weston Wilson · percentile ranksvs 210 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating6Bottom tier
Last 100 pitches28trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.273 / .253running 20 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 25LHPChangeup84.290.856.009Out
Sep 19LHPFastball87.894.032.279Out
Sep 19LHPFastball88.756.56.103Out
Sep 19RHPFastball96.482.432.038Out
Sep 16LHPFastball96.278.2-21.063Double play
Sep 16LHPCurveball81.456.9-46.226Out
Sep 16LHPChangeup83.197.08.627Double play
Sep 14LHPFastball93.287.612.701Single
Sep 13LHPSlider75.075.546.118Single
Sep 13LHPCutter85.872.965.000Out
Sep 12RHPSlider81.682.421.695Double
Sep 12LHPFastball94.884.323.260Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 25400012
Sep 23200002
Sep 19400001
Sep 16400010
Sep 14311002
Sep 13211000
Sep 12656001
Sep 11300000
Sep 9200000
Sep 8100000

Two strikes

Reid Detmers LAA · LHPwith two strikes
Reid Detmers with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball47%46%14.5%18.8%18.6%
Slider35%41%39.3%28.1%21.6%
Curveball12%7%23.1%21.2%21.2%
Changeup7%5%18.2%9.1%18.3%
Weston Wilson bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Weston Wilson with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%47.1%41.5%
Whiff%23.1%21.6%
Contact%76.9%78.4%
Chase%39.7%39.9%
wOBA.240.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes26.8%25.1%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.297
K%31.0%
BB%9.1%
Whiff%12.6%
Barrel%4.5%
Hard-hit%22.4%
Avg EV86.5

Against left-handers, last 90 days

75 PA
wOBA.266
xwOBA vs this mix.248against pitches like his
RV/100-0.68
Hard-hit%20.8%
K%33.1%
BB%8.8%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Reid DetmersLHP · LAA vs SEA
6.2projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 10 · 23.0 batters over 5.4 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 13.4%13%≤34 strikeouts: 12.3%12%45 strikeouts: 15.4%15%56 strikeouts: 15.9%16%67 strikeouts: 14.1%14%78 strikeouts: 11.0%11%89+ strikeouts: 17.9%18%9+book 6.5
Over 6.5: 43% (red bars) · under: 57%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%29.8%
BB%5.4%
Whiff%13.4%
Velo87.9
BTB Stuff105
Location112
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball47%10694.08.6%
Slider35%11585.818.5%
Curveball12%8672.211.2%
Changeup7%7584.024.5%
Last 3 startsStable
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 198124%14%29%.360
Sep 149532%14%32%.338
Sep 811243%12%5%.110

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Reid Detmers LAA · LHPvsSEA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Weston Wilson: every projection we've made →