Reid Detmers

LAA · Starting pitcher · 2 starts projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 9:10 PM CT

Reid DetmersLHP · LAA vs SEA

6.2projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 10 · 23.0 batters over 5.4 innings

Over 6.5: 43% (red bars) · under: 57%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%29.8%

BB%5.4%

Whiff%13.4%

Velo87.9

BTB Stuff105

Location112

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball47%10694.08.6%

Slider35%11585.818.5%

Curveball12%8672.211.2%

Changeup7%7584.024.5%

Last 3 startsStable

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 19	81	24%	14%	29%	.360
Sep 14	95	32%	14%	32%	.338
Sep 8	112	43%	12%	5%	.110

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameLAA @ SEA →T-Mobile Park

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Fastball	Hard	47%	94.0	+8.9″	+16.9″
Slider	Breaking	35%	85.8	-3.4″	-4.7″
Curveball	Breaking	12%	72.2	-11.6″	-14.6″
Changeup	Offspeed	7%	84.0	+10.9″	+11.3″

The lineup he faces

Reid Detmers LAA · LHPvsSEA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Randy Arozarena15%

2Dominic Canzone20%

3Julio Rodríguez29%

4Josh Naylor13%

5Michael Arroyo23%

6Cole Young21%

7Jhonny Pereda23%

8Weston Wilson33%

9Leo Rivas22%

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Reid Detmers LAA · LHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Fastball-1 pts

Slider+7 pts

Curveball-4 pts

Changeup-2 pts

Reid Detmers with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Fastball	47%	46%	14.5%	18.8%	18.6%
Slider	35%	41%	39.3%	28.1%	21.6%
Curveball	12%	7%	23.1%	21.2%	21.2%
Changeup	7%	5%	18.2%	9.1%	18.3%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts5BTB expected 5.8 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line1 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 25	SEA	6.1	6.5	41.0%	50.0%	not settled
Sep 19	MIN	5.8	6.5	36.3%	50.0%	5