Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Chase DeLauter's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.
| Market | BTB | Without the matchup | Matchup |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ hit | 70.0% | 66.3% | +3.7 |
| 2+ total bases | 43.5% | 39.8% | +3.7 |
| Home run | 12.7% | 11.4% | +1.3 |
Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.
Pitch by pitch
Chase DeLauter against each of Michael Wacha's pitches| His pitch | Usage | Velo | Movement | His wOBA | League | His whiff% | League | Sample | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 28% | 93.2 | +6″ / +18″ | .381 | .358 | 7.1% | 15.5% | 41 | About league average vs these; rarely misses them |
| Changeup | 27% | 80.6 | +13″ / +7″ | .300 | .278 | 18.1% | 28.0% | 10 | About league average vs these |
| Cutter | 14% | 89.6 | -2″ / +10″ | .399 | .376 | 8.2% | 17.2% | 25 | About league average vs these; rarely misses them |
| Sinker | 13% | 93.1 | +12″ / +15″ | .386 | .363 | 7.2% | 15.9% | 47 | About league average vs these; rarely misses them |
| Curveball | 10% | 75.4 | -10″ / -12″ | .337 | .314 | 15.0% | 25.0% | 5 | Little history vs this shape |
| Slider | 8% | 84.6 | -3″ / +3″ | .374 | .352 | 16.1% | 26.5% | 20 | About league average vs these; rarely misses them |
Statcast
opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 10 | .111 | .200 | .111 | .144 | .296 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 93.4 | 107.8 | 0.0% | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Last 15 G | 12 | 39 | .303 | .410 | .515 | .405 | .417 | 5.1% | 15.4% | 3.8% | 91.1 | 107.8 | 6.5% | 51.6% | 32.3% |
| Last 30 G | 26 | 77 | .348 | .416 | .551 | .420 | .365 | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 92.7 | 107.8 | 4.9% | 49.2% | 32.8% |
| 90 days | 60 | 185 | .321 | .400 | .506 | .400 | .376 | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 93.4 | 110.7 | 5.6% | 52.8% | 33.8% |
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 12 | .364 | .417 | .727 | .686 | .487 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 93.0 | 105.8 | 14.3% | 57.1% | 57.1% |
| Last 15 G | 11 | 25 | .217 | .280 | .391 | .381 | .318 | 24.0% | 4.0% | 15.0% | 91.2 | 105.8 | 6.2% | 50.0% | 31.2% |
| Last 30 G | 22 | 42 | .282 | .333 | .462 | .398 | .294 | 26.2% | 4.8% | 20.3% | 90.2 | 105.8 | 3.7% | 44.4% | 37.0% |
| 90 days | 48 | 93 | .294 | .355 | .471 | .384 | .298 | 25.8% | 7.5% | 19.0% | 91.2 | 107.5 | 5.0% | 51.7% | 33.3% |
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 22 | .250 | .318 | .450 | .442 | .401 | 22.7% | 4.5% | 15.2% | 93.2 | 107.8 | 7.1% | 57.1% | 50.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 64 | .268 | .359 | .464 | .396 | .379 | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 91.1 | 107.8 | 6.4% | 51.1% | 31.9% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 119 | .324 | .387 | .519 | .412 | .340 | 16.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 91.9 | 107.8 | 4.5% | 47.7% | 34.1% |
| 90 days | 65 | 278 | .312 | .385 | .494 | .394 | .350 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 92.8 | 110.7 | 5.4% | 52.5% | 33.7% |
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 90.3 | 74.0 | 43 | .226 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Changeup | 83.8 | 98.5 | -10 | .214 | Double play |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Fastball | 91.4 | 97.4 | 38 | .154 | Out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Sinker | 93.6 | 100.1 | 21 | .464 | Double |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Cutter | 87.8 | 75.2 | 26 | .690 | Single |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Sinker | 94.1 | 87.1 | -15 | .072 | Force out |
| Sep 22 | LHP | Slider | 87.3 | 100.0 | 2 | .432 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sweeper | 86.5 | 96.3 | 11 | .804 | Single |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sweeper | 87.6 | 90.9 | 30 | .061 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 94.3 | 107.8 | 15 | .748 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Fastball | 89.6 | 83.5 | 16 | .927 | Single |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Fastball | 91.5 | 105.8 | -3 | .370 | Error |
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Two strikes
| Pitch | Overall | 2 strikes | Whiff% | Put-away | League put-away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 27% | 35% | 21.2% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| Fastball | 28% | 29% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 18.0% |
| Sinker | 13% | 16% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 16.9% |
| Slider | 8% | 7% | 43.8% | 21.2% | 21.0% |
| Curveball | 10% | 7% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 20.1% |
| Cutter | 14% | 6% | 7.7% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| Other | 0% | 0% | – | 100.0% | 21.7% |
| With two strikes | Him | League |
|---|---|---|
| K% | 33.8% | 41.0% |
| Whiff% | 18.5% | 21.3% |
| Contact% | 81.5% | 78.7% |
| Chase% | 37.5% | 39.6% |
| wOBA | .262 | .245 |
| Whiff vs his put-away shapes | 16.0% | 18.5% |
The hitter
season-level talent readAgainst right-handers, last 90 days
185 PATalent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.
| Date | Pitches | K% | Whiff% | Hard-hit% | wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | 114 | 19% | 11% | 27% | .350 |
| Sep 15 | 99 | 8% | 5% | 38% | .346 |
| Sep 8 | 93 | 17% | 7% | 13% | .229 |
Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.
2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight
Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.