MLBengine v14
← CLE at KC, Sep 26, 2026
6:10 PM CT · Kauffman Stadium · lineup projected
Hitter · KC · batting 5Michael Massey
Bats leftTalent grade DBalancedCold
.304wOBA vs RHP.326xwOBA vs his mix3.7expected PA
Starter · CLETanner Bibee
Throws rightBTB Stuff 96Trending Down
3.7projected K17%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Tanner Bibee's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 25% usage, 93.9 mph, +4.2″ arm side, +14.8″ rise. Michael Massey: wOBA .353 vs league .361 (about even).Fastball 25%Cutter: 23% usage, 85.1 mph, -7.0″ arm side, +0.1″ rise. Michael Massey: wOBA .312 vs league .320 (about even).Cutter 23%Sinker: 19% usage, 92.7 mph, +14.5″ arm side, +7.9″ rise. Michael Massey: wOBA .346 vs league .354 (about even).Sinker 19%Changeup: 14% usage, 80.6 mph, +11.5″ arm side, +11.5″ rise. Michael Massey: wOBA .275 vs league .283 (about even).Changeup 14%Curveball: 12% usage, 78.1 mph, -13.8″ arm side, -8.2″ rise. Michael Massey: wOBA .306 vs league .314 (about even).Curveball 12%Sweeper: 8% usage, 82.0 mph, -16.6″ arm side, -1.7″ rise. Michael Massey: wOBA .307 vs league .315 (about even).Sweeper 8%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Michael Massey's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Michael Massey's last 40 balls in playHit (11)Out (29)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 101.7 mph at 31°Out: 99.7 mph at 32°Out: 75.9 mph at -15°Out: 94.2 mph at 24°Single: 92.8 mph at 13°Single: 86.3 mph at -3°Out: 89.4 mph at 35°Out: 58.6 mph at 69°Out: 103.2 mph at -3°Out: 96.8 mph at -15°Out: 91.9 mph at 30°Double: 94.1 mph at 26°Out: 79.0 mph at -28°Out: 85.4 mph at 5°Out: 102.6 mph at 21°Out: 91.8 mph at 21°Out: 84.0 mph at -20°Out: 46.7 mph at -24°Out: 71.1 mph at -9°Home run: 99.1 mph at 28°Out: 64.3 mph at 21°Out: 79.5 mph at -26°Out: 72.2 mph at 42°Out: 95.7 mph at 0°Out: 94.3 mph at -20°Single: 84.0 mph at 18°Single: 73.1 mph at 25°Out: 88.1 mph at 62°Home run: 97.4 mph at 29°Out: 82.8 mph at 1°Out: 96.6 mph at 27°Out: 75.4 mph at -35°Single: 76.7 mph at -41°Single: 98.1 mph at 10°Out: 58.4 mph at 24°Out: 80.2 mph at 29°Single: 102.2 mph at 12°Out: 97.8 mph at 31°Out: 70.3 mph at 12°Single: 82.2 mph at 14°
30% hit 95+ mph53% in the sweet spot28% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit69.2%67.1%+2.1
2+ total bases39.5%37.9%+1.5
Home run8.1%8.7%-0.6
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+2.1
Pitch mix
+0.4
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-0.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.9
Pitch mix
+0.4
Bullpen
-0.3
Park
-0.5
Home run
Starter
+0.5
Pitch mix
+0.1
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-1.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Michael Massey against each of Tanner Bibee's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball25%93.9+4″ / +15″.353.36110.4%14.8%52About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Cutter23%85.1-7″ / +0″.312.32020.5%28.1%17About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Sinker19%92.7+15″ / +8″.346.3549.6%14.0%44About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Changeup14%80.6+12″ / +12″.275.28320.5%30.2%15About league average vs these
Curveball12%78.1-14″ / -8″.306.31425.4%30.2%8Little history vs this shape; rarely misses them
Sweeper8%82.0-17″ / -2″.307.31519.7%23.8%12About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Michael Massey · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.188.188.250.191.31518.8%0.0%19.4%90.7102.615.4%23.1%61.5%
Last 15 G1447.255.255.426.291.33821.3%0.0%17.8%87.9106.78.1%32.4%62.2%
Last 30 G2785.321.353.531.381.38115.3%4.7%16.7%89.5106.78.8%39.7%54.4%
90 days59180.268.306.393.306.33115.0%5.6%15.3%89.2106.75.6%39.9%43.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 143 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 27%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.000.000.000.050.1980.0%0.0%8.3%78.9103.20.0%40.0%0.0%
Last 15 G815.154.214.154.193.2686.7%6.7%13.3%82.3103.20.0%38.5%30.8%
Last 30 G1630.250.276.250.248.26613.3%3.3%15.9%83.9104.10.0%28.0%40.0%
90 days3463.328.371.500.382.29020.6%6.3%21.4%82.5104.92.2%32.6%41.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 46 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 22%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.150.150.200.162.29114.3%0.0%16.7%87.4103.211.1%27.8%44.4%
Last 15 G1562.233.246.367.269.32217.7%1.6%16.8%86.5106.76.0%34.0%54.0%
Last 30 G30115.303.333.459.347.35214.8%4.3%16.5%88.0106.76.5%36.6%50.5%
90 days65243.283.322.420.325.32016.5%5.8%16.8%87.5106.74.8%38.1%42.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 189 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 26%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 4%
Michael Massey · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormCold
Contact rating65Above average
Last 100 pitches56trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.320 / .331results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSweeper88.1101.7311.215Out
Sep 24RHPFastball91.199.732.832Out
Sep 24RHPChangeup90.675.9-15.035Out
Sep 23RHPSinker94.294.224.217Out
Sep 23RHPSinker98.392.813.870Single
Sep 23RHPSinker95.386.3-3.163Single
Sep 23LHPFastball93.589.435.029Out
Sep 22LHPSinker95.758.669.000Out
Sep 22LHPSinker94.8103.2-3.378Out
Sep 22LHPSinker96.196.8-15.183Out
Sep 22RHPFastball95.391.930.076Out
Sep 22RHPFastball90.894.126.219Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400001
Sep 23422000
Sep 22512000
Sep 20400001
Sep 19400001
Sep 18414100
Sep 17400001
Sep 16536101
Sep 15300001
Sep 13411002

Two strikes

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPwith two strikes
Tanner Bibee with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball25%24%11.5%11.3%18.0%
Cutter23%21%25.5%23.5%17.9%
Changeup14%20%20.9%17.7%18.6%
Sinker19%16%3.1%14.5%16.9%
Sweeper8%11%8.0%6.8%19.3%
Curveball12%8%10.5%12.5%20.1%
Michael Massey bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Michael Massey with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%37.4%41.0%
Whiff%19.0%21.3%
Contact%81.0%78.7%
Chase%48.3%39.6%
wOBA.238.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes18.6%20.7%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.298
K%16.9%
BB%5.1%
Whiff%9.3%
Barrel%3.5%
Hard-hit%29.1%
Avg EV87.6

Against right-handers, last 90 days

178 PA
wOBA.304
xwOBA vs this mix.326against pitches like his
RV/100-0.59
Hard-hit%30.7%
K%16.1%
BB%5.5%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Tanner BibeeRHP · CLE vs KC
3.7projected strikeouts · likely 1 to 6 · 24.3 batters over 5.7 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 49.3%49%≤34 strikeouts: 19.2%19%45 strikeouts: 14.3%14%56 strikeouts: 8.8%9%67 strikeouts: 4.8%5%78 strikeouts: 2.2%2%89+ strikeouts: 1.4%1%9+book 3.5
Over 3.5: 51% (red bars) · under: 49%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%16.5%
BB%6.8%
Whiff%8.7%
Velo87.0
BTB Stuff96
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball25%7693.96.0%
Cutter23%12185.212.4%
Sinker19%9492.74.3%
Changeup14%10580.616.7%
Curveball12%7878.25.5%
Sweeper8%9881.97.4%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 19958%7%40%.518
Sep 139627%16%31%.248
Sep 8625%2%30%.412

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Tanner Bibee CLE · RHPvsKC lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

1 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against right-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameCLE @ KC →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Michael Massey: every projection we've made →