← HOU at OAK, Sep 26, 2026
8:40 PM CT · Sutter Health Park · lineup projected
Hitter · OAK · batting 4Jeff McNeil
Bats leftTalent grade ——Normal
–wOBA vs RHP–xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · HOUTBD
Stable
3.9projected K–K%1.9trips vs this hitter
Jeff McNeil's last 40 balls in playHit (12)Out (28)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Home run: 98.4 mph at 37°Double: 82.6 mph at 14°Out: 82.8 mph at -36°Out: 90.9 mph at 48°Out: 84.9 mph at 9°Single: 99.0 mph at 0°Out: 28.1 mph at -42°Out: 66.5 mph at -29°Single: 64.0 mph at 16°Out: 97.6 mph at -11°Out: 70.6 mph at 77°Out: 97.3 mph at 3°Out: 79.2 mph at 75°Out: 93.2 mph at 25°Single: 56.1 mph at 22°Out: 85.1 mph at 33°Out: 104.4 mph at 0°Out: 77.9 mph at -6°Out: 92.7 mph at -16°Single: 69.8 mph at -1°Double: 97.9 mph at 21°Out: 97.3 mph at 18°Single: 101.1 mph at 16°Out: 90.3 mph at 44°Out: 91.1 mph at -11°Out: 72.0 mph at -4°Out: 89.4 mph at 3°Out: 91.0 mph at 33°Single: 50.6 mph at 17°Out: 83.5 mph at 28°Out: 58.6 mph at -46°Out: 69.4 mph at 16°Single: 88.6 mph at 21°Out: 84.1 mph at 39°Double: 101.7 mph at 18°Out: 100.2 mph at -3°Single: 97.4 mph at 14°Out: 108.4 mph at -23°Out: 89.8 mph at 31°Out: 88.7 mph at 10°
30% hit 95+ mph40% in the sweet spot30% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit72.0%70.0%+1.9
2+ total bases42.1%39.5%+2.7
Home run8.3%7.0%+1.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+2.1
2+ total bases
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
-0.1
Park
+2.8
Home run
Starter
0.0
Pitch mix
0.0
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
+1.3

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Statcast

opens on right-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Jeff McNeil · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.333.385.667.512.2557.7%7.7%20.8%84.499.00.0%36.4%18.2%
Last 15 G1548.239.271.370.318.24710.4%4.2%14.0%86.8108.40.0%34.1%31.7%
Last 30 G3098.263.286.421.324.27111.2%3.1%14.6%86.2108.41.2%26.2%38.1%
90 days65184.297.317.457.346.3119.2%3.3%12.7%87.3108.43.1%30.0%39.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 160 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 28%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.000.200.000.140.27140.0%20.0%35.3%56.584.90.0%0.0%50.0%
Last 15 G710.222.300.222.250.23320.0%10.0%25.0%69.9100.20.0%14.3%57.1%
Last 30 G1628.320.393.360.345.26510.7%7.1%14.7%80.3100.20.0%22.7%40.9%
90 days3361.298.344.351.314.2459.8%4.9%15.1%83.2104.60.0%23.5%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 51 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 22%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.250.333.500.408.25916.7%11.1%26.8%80.199.00.0%30.8%23.1%
Last 15 G1558.236.276.345.306.24512.1%5.2%16.4%84.4108.40.0%31.2%35.4%
Last 30 G30126.275.310.408.329.26911.1%4.0%14.7%85.0108.40.9%25.5%38.7%
90 days66245.297.324.431.338.2959.4%3.7%13.2%86.3108.42.4%28.4%37.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 211 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 26%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 9%
Jeff McNeil · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating43Below average
Last 100 pitches2trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.340 / .310running 30 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball94.798.437.297Home run
Sep 24RHPCutter90.282.614.855Double
Sep 24RHPCutter86.482.8-36.042Out
Sep 23RHPSinker97.990.948.000Out
Sep 23LHPFastball92.184.99.405Out
Sep 23RHPSlider86.099.00.428Single
Sep 23LHPSweeper79.128.1-42.252Out
Sep 22RHPSlider84.766.5-29.047Fielder's choice
Sep 20RHPFastball95.864.016.252Single
Sep 19RHPFastball92.597.6-11.199Double play
Sep 19RHPCutter85.870.677.003Out
Sep 19RHPFastball94.597.33.489Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24426101
Sep 23511010
Sep 22300011
Sep 20111000
Sep 19500001
Sep 18411000
Sep 17300001
Sep 16323001
Sep 15411001
Sep 13511000

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
K%–
BB%–
Whiff%–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
Avg EV–

Against right-handers, last 90 days

0 PA
wOBA–
xwOBA vs this mix–against pitches like his
RV/100–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces

Starter not announced.

The rest of the gameHOU @ OAK →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Jeff McNeil: every projection we've made →