MLBengine v14
← LAA at SEA, Sep 26, 2026
8:40 PM CT · T-Mobile Park · lineup projected
Hitter · LAA · batting 4Vaughn Grissom
Bats rightTalent grade FBalancedCold
.352wOBA vs LHP.319xwOBA vs his mix3.8expected PA
Starter · SEAKade Anderson
Throws leftBTB Stuff 97Trending Up
5.4projected K21%K%2.2trips vs this hitter
Kade Anderson's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 41% usage, 93.5 mph, +7.1″ arm side, +16.0″ rise. Vaughn Grissom: wOBA .355 vs league .347 (about even).Fastball 41%Slider: 24% usage, 87.9 mph, -4.3″ arm side, -1.1″ rise. Vaughn Grissom: wOBA .305 vs league .299 (about even).Slider 24%Changeup: 18% usage, 84.8 mph, +12.6″ arm side, +8.3″ rise. Vaughn Grissom: wOBA .309 vs league .303 (about even).Changeup 18%Curveball: 16% usage, 81.8 mph, -7.8″ arm side, -10.0″ rise. Vaughn Grissom: wOBA .301 vs league .295 (about even).Curveball 16%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Vaughn Grissom's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Vaughn Grissom's last 40 balls in playHit (10)Out (30)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 78.9 mph at 39°Out: 101.0 mph at -2°Out: 84.7 mph at 3°Out: 86.0 mph at -9°Home run: 100.7 mph at 28°Out: 85.5 mph at 48°Out: 93.2 mph at 3°Single: 86.5 mph at 11°Single: 102.5 mph at 4°Single: 85.6 mph at -12°Out: 68.7 mph at 52°Single: 99.2 mph at 16°Out: 82.2 mph at 1°Single: 81.4 mph at 10°Out: 53.9 mph at -73°Out: 76.6 mph at 32°Out: 69.8 mph at -11°Out: 70.2 mph at -39°Home run: 103.8 mph at 26°Out: 97.0 mph at -16°Out: 94.6 mph at 22°Out: 95.3 mph at 24°Out: 92.1 mph at -17°Out: 92.8 mph at 26°Out: 75.2 mph at 41°Double: 92.5 mph at -1°Out: 61.3 mph at -16°Out: 91.9 mph at 23°Single: 81.2 mph at 20°Out: 87.6 mph at 3°Out: 101.6 mph at 18°Out: 71.4 mph at 77°Out: 94.2 mph at -7°Out: 87.1 mph at 27°Home run: 97.3 mph at 41°Out: 88.3 mph at -32°Out: 62.6 mph at -16°Out: 90.8 mph at 64°Out: 90.3 mph at 67°Out: 62.8 mph at -35°
23% hit 95+ mph33% in the sweet spot25% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit60.5%60.1%+0.4
2+ total bases33.8%33.2%+0.5
Home run10.8%9.9%+0.9
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
+1.0
Pitch mix
+0.3
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
-1.1
2+ total bases
Starter
+1.1
Pitch mix
+0.3
Bullpen
+0.3
Park
-1.1
Home run
Starter
+0.8
Pitch mix
+0.1
Bullpen
+0.1
Park
-0.0

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Vaughn Grissom against each of Kade Anderson's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball41%93.5+7″ / +16″.355.34714.4%17.7%31About league average vs these
Slider24%87.9-4″ / -1″.305.29929.1%30.5%13About league average vs these
Changeup18%84.8+13″ / +8″.309.30327.0%31.1%19About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Curveball16%81.8-8″ / -10″.301.29527.8%28.9%12About league average vs these
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Vaughn Grissom · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.667.7141.667.929.72914.3%0.0%12.5%99.9103.840.0%80.0%60.0%
Last 15 G1327.304.370.609.439.36718.5%7.4%12.8%90.6103.810.5%36.8%47.4%
Last 30 G2348.250.292.500.352.31118.8%4.2%14.6%88.8104.98.3%33.3%41.7%
90 days47104.298.356.447.360.32321.2%5.8%19.8%87.1110.05.5%34.2%37.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 73 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 25%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.200.294.200.241.2415.9%5.9%18.8%79.4101.00.0%7.1%21.4%
Last 15 G1336.167.278.300.288.22613.9%8.3%21.2%81.6101.00.0%11.5%23.1%
Last 30 G2779.209.308.388.333.30716.5%6.3%20.1%83.5108.35.4%26.8%28.6%
90 days60179.215.270.368.300.27223.5%4.5%21.6%85.0108.35.6%29.0%31.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 124 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 19%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G524.333.417.619.442.3838.3%4.2%17.5%84.8103.810.5%26.3%31.6%
Last 15 G1563.226.317.434.352.28715.9%7.9%17.7%85.4103.84.4%22.2%33.3%
Last 30 G30127.225.302.432.340.30817.3%5.5%18.1%85.6108.36.5%29.3%33.7%
90 days68283.245.301.397.322.29122.6%4.9%20.9%85.8110.05.6%31.0%33.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 197 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 21%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 9%
Vaughn Grissom · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormCold
Contact rating40Below average
Last 100 pitches85trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.317 / .307results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSweeper82.578.939.059Out
Sep 24RHPSinker95.5101.0-2.324Out
Sep 24RHPFastball94.384.73.273Double play
Sep 24RHPCurveball80.486.0-9.119Force out
Sep 23LHPFastball90.9100.7281.151Home run
Sep 23RHPFastball97.085.548.003Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup80.693.23.466Out
Sep 23RHPSlider85.586.511.542Single
Sep 22LHPCutter88.3102.54.531Single
Sep 22RHPFastball96.485.6-12.125Single
Sep 22RHPSlider88.468.752.175Out
Sep 22LHPFastball92.799.216.623Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24500001
Sep 23425100
Sep 22533000
Sep 20411000
Sep 19614111
Sep 18400011
Sep 17100000
Sep 16500002
Sep 15412000
Sep 14411010

Two strikes

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPwith two strikes
Kade Anderson with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Slider24%33%26.7%20.8%21.6%
Fastball41%32%22.6%19.1%18.6%
Changeup18%23%19.0%11.8%18.3%
Curveball16%12%20.0%29.4%21.3%
Sinker2%1%0.0%0.0%17.7%
Vaughn Grissom bats Rwith two strikes, vs this hand
Vaughn Grissom with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. About league average vs his two-strike stuff
With two strikesHimLeague
K%40.5%41.6%
Whiff%22.5%21.7%
Contact%77.5%78.3%
Chase%40.2%40.0%
wOBA.234.245
Whiff vs his put-away shapes24.9%24.0%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.320
K%22.7%
BB%5.5%
Whiff%10.6%
Barrel%4.2%
Hard-hit%22.2%
Avg EV86.2

Against left-handers, last 90 days

104 PA
wOBA.352
xwOBA vs this mix.319against pitches like his
RV/1000.64
Hard-hit%24.0%
K%21.5%
BB%5.1%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Kade AndersonLHP · SEA vs LAA
5.4projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 9 · 21.4 batters over 5.1 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 21.0%21%≤34 strikeouts: 15.7%16%45 strikeouts: 17.2%17%56 strikeouts: 15.5%16%67 strikeouts: 12.1%12%78 strikeouts: 8.2%8%89+ strikeouts: 10.3%10%9+book 5.5
Over 5.5: 46% (red bars) · under: 54%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%21.4%
BB%6.1%
Whiff%12.7%
Velo88.6
BTB Stuff97
Location101
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball41%9093.410.8%
Slider24%10987.812.8%
Changeup18%9684.518.4%
Curveball16%9781.910.5%
Sinker2%10793.014.3%
Last 3 startsTrending Up
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 208429%17%38%.142
Sep 147225%14%35%.368
Sep 98121%12%42%.300

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Kade Anderson SEA · LHPvsLAA lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAA @ SEA →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Vaughn Grissom: every projection we've made →