MLBengine v14
← LAD at SF, Sep 26, 2026
3:05 PM CT · Oracle Park · lineup projected
Hitter · SF · batting 2Turner Hill
Bats leftTalent grade DContactNormal
.272wOBA vs LHP.289xwOBA vs his mix3.9expected PA
Starter · LADBlake Snell
Throws leftBTB Stuff 116Trending Down
6.7projected K34%K%2.7trips vs this hitter
Blake Snell's pitches, by how they moveHitter's edgeEvenPitcher's edge
-20-100+10+20-20-100+10+20Arm side →← Glove side↑ Rise (in)Fastball: 50% usage, 96.1 mph, +5.8″ arm side, +18.8″ rise. Turner Hill: wOBA .319 vs league .326 (about even).Fastball 50%Curveball: 22% usage, 79.8 mph, -13.8″ arm side, -8.8″ rise. Turner Hill: wOBA .250 vs league .257 (about even).Curveball 22%Changeup: 18% usage, 84.5 mph, +13.1″ arm side, +8.2″ rise. Turner Hill: wOBA .313 vs league .320 (about even).Changeup 18%Slider: 10% usage, 88.6 mph, -3.7″ arm side, +7.2″ rise. Turner Hill: wOBA .313 vs league .321 (about even).Slider 10%

Bubble size is how often he throws it. Color is Turner Hill's wOBA against pitches shaped like it, compared with league. Hover a pitch for the numbers; the table below has all of them.

Turner Hill's last 40 balls in playHit (6)Out (34)Barrel zone
sweet spot 8–32°-40°-20°0°20°40°60°80°6070809010011012095 mph hard hitExit velocity (mph)Out: 84.0 mph at 49°Out: 87.1 mph at 41°Out: 83.5 mph at 61°Out: 97.3 mph at 22°Out: 96.1 mph at 20°Out: 87.9 mph at 49°Out: 98.1 mph at 31°Out: 88.6 mph at 19°Out: 84.2 mph at 37°Single: 71.0 mph at 24°Out: 86.0 mph at -7°Out: 87.2 mph at 37°Out: 90.7 mph at 6°Out: 97.6 mph at 5°Out: 80.6 mph at 8°Out: 82.5 mph at 80°Single: 93.5 mph at 12°Out: 93.4 mph at -36°Out: 103.7 mph at -8°Out: 63.7 mph at -18°Home run: 98.9 mph at 30°Single: 101.0 mph at 3°Single: 72.2 mph at 20°Out: 90.3 mph at 8°Out: 86.0 mph at -23°Out: 91.7 mph at 3°Out: 101.2 mph at 3°Out: 97.7 mph at 37°Out: 72.1 mph at -13°Out: 98.3 mph at 31°Out: 87.7 mph at 20°Out: 48.7 mph at -55°Out: 83.9 mph at -4°Double: 84.8 mph at 1°Out: 84.4 mph at 81°Out: 67.0 mph at -7°Out: 85.5 mph at 40°Out: 95.1 mph at -1°Out: 86.3 mph at 35°Out: 89.0 mph at 44°
28% hit 95+ mph30% in the sweet spot15% fell for hits
MarketBTBWithout the matchupMatchup
1+ hit54.8%60.6%-5.8
2+ total bases27.8%33.9%-6.2
Home run5.2%9.6%-4.4
Matchup: points this starter, his pitch mix, the bullpen and the park add or take away, against the same hitter over the same trips facing league-average opposition. "Without the matchup" takes them back out.
What moves the number
1+ hit
Starter
-4.1
Pitch mix
-0.4
Bullpen
-0.4
Park
-0.8
2+ total bases
Starter
-4.2
Pitch mix
-0.4
Bullpen
-0.4
Park
-1.1
Home run
Starter
-3.0
Pitch mix
-0.1
Bullpen
-0.2
Park
-1.1

Points each piece adds or takes away. The pitch-mix piece is folded into the fitted model when it scores the pair, so it often reads zero.

Pitch by pitch

Turner Hill against each of Blake Snell's pitches
His pitchUsageVeloMovementHis wOBALeagueHis whiff%LeagueSampleRead
Fastball50%96.1+6″ / +19″.319.32612.2%21.9%12About league average vs these; rarely misses them
Curveball22%79.8-14″ / -9″.250.25720.5%27.3%2Little history vs this shape
Changeup18%84.5+13″ / +8″.313.32020.7%27.9%9About league average vs these
Slider10%88.6-4″ / +7″.313.32122.2%29.1%7Little history vs this shape
Matched by shape: every pitch in our history that moved like each of the starter's pitches, not just ones with the same name. Movement is horizontal / induced vertical break in inches. Display only; the fitted model reads the matchup its own way.

Statcast

opens on left-handers, the hand he faces tonight
Turner Hill · by window and pitcher handthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.071.071.071.064.2337.1%0.0%4.3%86.797.60.0%15.4%30.8%
Last 15 G1330.138.167.172.155.22323.3%3.3%9.1%85.097.70.0%18.2%27.3%
Last 30 G1939.176.256.235.228.25917.9%7.7%7.8%84.499.60.0%21.4%28.6%
90 days1939.176.256.235.228.25917.9%7.7%7.8%84.499.60.0%21.4%28.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 28 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 25%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.167.286.167.229.35514.3%14.3%10.0%92.698.10.0%40.0%60.0%
Last 15 G1332.148.281.259.256.32015.6%15.6%14.8%87.9103.74.5%31.8%36.4%
Last 30 G2775.254.360.365.328.35614.7%13.3%13.8%88.6104.25.7%35.8%35.8%
90 days2879.242.342.348.311.34615.2%12.7%14.0%88.3104.25.4%35.7%35.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 56 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 27%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.100.143.100.119.2739.5%4.8%6.1%88.398.10.0%22.2%38.9%
Last 15 G1562.143.226.214.207.27319.4%9.7%11.9%86.4103.72.3%25.0%31.8%
Last 30 G30114.227.325.320.294.32315.8%11.4%11.7%87.1104.23.7%30.9%33.3%
90 days31118.220.314.310.284.31716.1%11.0%11.9%87.0104.23.6%31.0%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 84 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 26%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 6%
Turner Hill · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

FormNormal
Contact rating64Average
Last 100 pitches66steady
wOBA / xwOBA.286 / .331running 44 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit5/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPFastball95.984.049.008Out
Sep 23LHPSlider88.687.141.003Out
Sep 23LHPFastball94.883.561.010Out
Sep 23LHPFastball93.397.322.357Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball83.096.120.360Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball82.187.949.006Out
Sep 22RHPFastball97.698.131.542Out
Sep 22LHPCutter87.888.619.555Out
Sep 19LHPSinker96.384.237.008Out
Sep 19LHPSinker96.371.024.895Single
Sep 19LHPSinker97.286.0-7.089Out
Sep 18RHPFastball94.687.237.021Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23400000
Sep 22400000
Sep 19411001
Sep 18400011
Sep 16511000
Sep 15525110
Sep 14411001
Sep 13200011
Sep 12400002
Sep 11400002

Two strikes

Blake Snell LAD · LHPwith two strikes
Blake Snell with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
PitchOverall2 strikesWhiff%Put-awayLeague put-away
Fastball50%42%28.0%23.9%18.6%
Curveball22%36%33.3%22.4%21.3%
Changeup18%12%17.6%20.0%18.3%
Slider10%10%27.3%20.0%21.6%
Turner Hill bats Lwith two strikes, vs this hand
Turner Hill with two strikes against this hand, shrunk toward league. Little two-strike history vs these shapes
With two strikesHimLeague
K%42.4%44.1%
Whiff%20.7%22.7%
Contact%79.3%77.3%
Chase%36.9%38.1%
wOBA.231.224
Whiff vs his put-away shapes21.6%23.6%

The hitter

season-level talent read
Talent gradeDContact type
wOBA.304
K%19.6%
BB%9.3%
Whiff%7.5%
Barrel%4.0%
Hard-hit%24.2%
Avg EV87.8

Against left-handers, last 90 days

39 PA
wOBA.272
xwOBA vs this mix.289against pitches like his
RV/100-0.85
Hard-hit%20.8%
K%20.2%
BB%10.4%

Talent blends this season with last season, shrunk toward league average where the sample is thin. Recent hot or cold streaks are not weighted: in our tests they didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season does.

The starter he faces
Blake SnellLHP · LAD vs SF
6.7projected strikeouts · likely 3 to 10 · 20.8 batters over 4.9 innings
≤3 strikeouts: 10.4%10%≤34 strikeouts: 10.5%10%45 strikeouts: 14.0%14%56 strikeouts: 15.4%15%67 strikeouts: 14.7%15%78 strikeouts: 12.2%12%89+ strikeouts: 22.8%23%9+book 6.5
Over 6.5: 50% (red bars) · under: 50%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.
K%33.6%
BB%10.0%
Whiff%15.6%
Velo89.5
BTB Stuff116
Location102
PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff
Fastball50%12196.010.2%
Curveball22%10579.716.0%
Changeup18%11384.425.5%
Slider10%12588.627.6%
Other0%––0.0%
Last 3 startsTrending Down
DatePitchesK%Whiff%Hard-hit%wOBA
Sep 1110135%18%9%.227
Sep 410130%14%17%.287
Aug 299946%16%5%.305

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

Blake Snell LAD · LHPvsSF lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 21.6%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

The rest of the gameLAD @ SF →Both lineups, bullpens, the pitch-mix battles and park air.Turner Hill: every projection we've made →