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Alejandro Kirk

TOR · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Alejandro Kirk · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G22.000.000.000.000.0620.0%0.0%0.0%61.173.30.0%0.0%0.0%
Last 15 G613.308.308.615.388.27915.4%0.0%13.6%84.6102.20.0%36.4%45.5%
Last 30 G1331.323.323.452.348.30112.9%0.0%12.7%89.2108.80.0%42.3%46.2%
90 days3574.344.419.469.413.33414.9%12.2%13.3%89.7108.81.9%37.7%41.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 53 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 36%Fly ball 13%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.357.400.357.347.26220.0%6.7%6.2%87.9107.30.0%27.3%27.3%
Last 15 G1549.295.367.364.333.31614.3%10.2%8.1%86.6109.72.7%35.1%27.0%
Last 30 G3095.305.400.512.401.34611.6%13.7%10.1%89.9109.75.6%47.9%36.6%
90 days58173.286.358.442.359.33410.4%10.4%9.8%88.3109.73.6%42.3%32.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 137 balls in play
Ground 55%Line drive 19%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.312.353.312.306.23817.6%5.9%5.4%83.8107.30.0%23.1%23.1%
Last 15 G1562.298.355.421.344.30814.5%8.1%9.3%86.1109.72.1%35.4%31.2%
Last 30 G30126.310.381.496.388.33511.9%10.3%10.7%89.7109.74.1%46.4%39.2%
90 days62247.303.377.450.374.33411.7%10.9%10.8%88.7109.73.2%41.1%35.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 190 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 24%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 6%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPCutter91.089.911.606Single
Sep 23LHPChangeup86.073.3-27.040Out
Sep 23RHPSinker95.174.754.139Out
Sep 21RHPCurveball86.084.1-18.048Out
Sep 21RHPCutter88.377.7-8.050Out
Sep 21RHPSinker95.4102.29.714Single
Sep 19LHPCurveball75.948.9-25.084Force out
Sep 19RHPSplitter88.3107.39.725Single
Sep 19RHPSinker96.177.4-12.035Single
Sep 19RHPSinker91.081.253.023Out
Sep 18RHPCutter90.0103.3-8.249Out
Sep 18RHPSweeper77.174.56.181Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23411002
Sep 23100000
Sep 21411010
Sep 19422000
Sep 18411001
Sep 15411000
Sep 14522010
Sep 12425101
Sep 11500021
Sep 9411011
FormCold
Contact rating82Excellent
Last 100 pitches28trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.370 / .353running 17 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.360
Barrel%3.8%
Hard-hit%32.1%
K%12.3%
BB%10.5%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Alejandro Kirk · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Alejandro Kirk · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Kumar Rocker: 68.7% · 1 HSep 19 vs Cal Quantrill: 71.1% · 2 HSep 23 vs Trey Gibson: 72.6% · 1 HSep 25 vs Nick Lodolo: 71.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 2.1. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 3BTB expected 2.1
Games with 2+ TB1 of 3BTB expected 1.2
Games with a HR0 of 3BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeBwOBA .360 · K% 12.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Nick Lodolo71.9%42.6%12.0%not settled
Sep 23Trey Gibson72.6%40.4%10.7%4110
Sep 19Cal Quantrill71.1%40.8%9.4%4220
Sep 18Kumar Rocker68.7%34.3%9.5%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.