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Kazuma Okamoto

TOR · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Kazuma Okamoto · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G416.133.188.133.156.20125.0%6.2%32.0%90.6102.70.0%45.5%27.3%
Last 15 G1446.250.348.500.366.36521.7%13.0%27.5%90.6107.310.0%43.3%43.3%
Last 30 G2988.218.295.410.318.32923.9%10.2%28.1%90.6107.38.6%46.6%39.7%
90 days71214.208.266.376.298.28925.2%7.5%28.1%88.0110.86.2%34.0%32.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 144 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 19%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G25.200.200.200.180.1830.0%0.0%0.0%82.895.70.0%20.0%20.0%
Last 15 G715.231.333.692.420.53213.3%13.3%22.2%92.1109.827.3%54.5%45.5%
Last 30 G1635.333.429.867.523.55914.3%14.3%18.3%92.8109.828.0%48.0%52.0%
90 days3883.247.337.548.386.38226.5%9.6%28.5%91.7109.821.6%51.0%39.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 51 balls in play
Ground 26%Line drive 16%Fly ball 45%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.150.190.150.162.19719.0%4.8%23.5%88.2102.70.0%37.5%25.0%
Last 15 G1561.245.344.547.380.40619.7%13.1%26.2%91.0109.814.6%46.3%43.9%
Last 30 G30123.250.333.537.376.39421.1%11.4%25.5%91.3109.814.5%47.0%43.4%
90 days73297.219.286.422.322.31525.6%8.1%28.2%89.0110.810.3%38.5%34.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 195 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 19%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 14%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPSlider86.5101.0-2.302Double play
Sep 23RHPCutter90.585.9-20.042Out
Sep 23RHPCutter91.878.036.106Out
Sep 23RHPCutter89.987.129.031Out
Sep 23RHPFastball96.597.326.439Out
Sep 21RHPCurveball84.799.5-7.202Out
Sep 21RHPSinker94.2102.5-4.302Double play
Sep 21RHPCutter89.082.320.816Single
Sep 20RHPSlider92.5102.7-12.223Single
Sep 20RHPFastball95.690.255.013Out
Sep 20LHPFastball94.395.726.363Out
Sep 20RHPFastball97.470.5-14.039Force out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23400010
Sep 23400002
Sep 21411001
Sep 20511001
Sep 19411000
Sep 18411011
Sep 16400011
Sep 15411001
Sep 14414101
Sep 13414110
FormHot
Contact rating67Above average
Last 100 pitches4trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.323 / .333results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.323
Barrel%6.4%
Hard-hit%25.7%
K%24.3%
BB%8.2%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Kazuma Okamoto · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Kazuma Okamoto · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Kumar Rocker: 57.0% · 1 HSep 19 vs Cal Quantrill: 60.2% · 1 HSep 20 vs Jacob deGrom: 56.3% · 1 HSep 23 vs Trey Gibson: 65.1% · no hitSep 25 vs Nick Lodolo: 62.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 4BTB expected 2.4
Games with 2+ TB0 of 4BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeCwOBA .323 · K% 24.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Nick Lodolo62.9%40.7%19.5%not settled
Sep 23Trey Gibson65.1%37.7%16.5%4000
Sep 20Jacob deGrom56.3%33.9%12.9%5110
Sep 19Cal Quantrill60.2%38.2%14.3%4110
Sep 18Kumar Rocker57.0%31.5%14.6%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.