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Alex Bregman
CHC · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handAlex Bregman · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 8 | .000 | .250 | .000 | .175 | .387 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 81.3 | 97.9 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 50.0% |
| Last 15 G | 7 | 14 | .300 | .500 | .400 | .418 | .459 | 0.0% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 86.4 | 102.9 | 0.0% | 30.0% | 60.0% |
| Last 30 G | 16 | 32 | .296 | .406 | .778 | .483 | .375 | 6.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 86.2 | 104.7 | 12.0% | 36.0% | 44.0% |
| 90 days | 41 | 79 | .308 | .418 | .677 | .453 | .349 | 8.9% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 88.4 | 104.7 | 6.8% | 32.2% | 39.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 59 balls in play
Ground 31%Line drive 20%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 17%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 12 | .364 | .417 | .909 | .537 | .488 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 97.3 | 105.4 | 22.2% | 77.8% | 44.4% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 48 | .275 | .396 | .550 | .405 | .371 | 8.3% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 87.8 | 105.4 | 8.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Last 30 G | 29 | 99 | .287 | .364 | .598 | .422 | .354 | 11.1% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 87.9 | 105.5 | 11.7% | 36.4% | 35.1% |
| 90 days | 72 | 249 | .273 | .349 | .541 | .389 | .327 | 14.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 88.4 | 106.5 | 7.5% | 38.0% | 34.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 187 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 21%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 17%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 20 | .235 | .350 | .588 | .392 | .448 | 10.0% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 90.9 | 105.4 | 13.3% | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 62 | .280 | .419 | .520 | .408 | .391 | 6.5% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 87.5 | 105.4 | 6.5% | 32.6% | 39.1% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 131 | .289 | .374 | .640 | .437 | .359 | 9.9% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 87.5 | 105.5 | 11.8% | 36.3% | 37.3% |
| 90 days | 73 | 328 | .281 | .366 | .572 | .405 | .332 | 12.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 88.4 | 106.5 | 7.3% | 36.6% | 35.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 246 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 21%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 17%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | RHP | Slider | 86.3 | 96.1 | 15 | .803 | Single |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Curveball | 82.1 | 90.9 | 9 | .484 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Changeup | 86.9 | 44.2 | -49 | .221 | Out |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Sinker | 93.6 | 80.0 | 29 | .162 | Out |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Slider | 91.8 | 82.5 | 44 | .021 | Out |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Sinker | 93.3 | 97.7 | 0 | .353 | Out |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Fastball | 97.7 | 103.6 | 7 | .597 | Out |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Fastball | 95.6 | 99.0 | 31 | .717 | Out |
| Sep 18 | LHP | Fastball | 95.5 | 97.9 | 27 | .610 | Out |
| Sep 16 | RHP | Cutter | 86.2 | 102.6 | 4 | .531 | Triple |
| Sep 16 | RHP | Curveball | 83.3 | 105.4 | 22 | 1.242 | Home run |
| Sep 16 | RHP | Fastball | 92.4 | 88.5 | 53 | .008 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 11 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
FormHot
Contact rating80Excellent
Last 100 pitches96trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.404 / .351running 53 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeAContact type
wOBA.390
Barrel%5.2%
Hard-hit%27.9%
K%13.4%
BB%10.2%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA71.332
Avg EV5388.4
Max EV14106.5
Barrel%577.3%
Hard-hit%3936.6%
Sweet-spot%5335.8%
K%9212.8%
BB%7310.4%
Whiff%9611.3%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 1 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.7. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
4 settled gamesGames with a hit1 of 4BTB expected 2.7
Games with 2+ TB0 of 4BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeAwOBA .390 · K% 13.4%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Alec Gamboa | 65.4% | 40.3% | 12.2% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | Rhett Lowder | 67.0% | 47.3% | 14.6% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Nick Lodolo | 68.1% | 48.3% | 16.6% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Chase Burns | 64.6% | 36.9% | 13.2% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |