Alec Gamboa

BOS · Starting pitcher · 1 starts projected since Sep 25, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 12:05 PM CT

Alec GamboaLHP · BOS vs CHC

1.8projected strikeouts · likely 0 to 4 · 10.8 batters over 2.5 innings

Over 1.5: 53% (red bars) · under: 47%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%16.4%

BB%8.6%

Whiff%6.9%

Velo92.5

BTB Stuff106

Location100

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Fastball47%10496.08.2%

Slider32%10888.710.3%

Sinker17%10995.06.7%

Changeup3%10386.96.8%

Curveball1%9081.70.0%

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameCHC @ BOS →Fenway Park

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Fastball	Hard	40%	95.6	+3.5″	+17.0″
Slider	Breaking	35%	88.5	-3.5″	+1.5″
Sinker	Hard	22%	94.5	+12.1″	+8.5″

The lineup he faces

Alec Gamboa BOS · LHPvsCHC lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

3 of 10 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Pete Crow-Armstrong27%

2Seiya Suzuki17%

3Alex Bregman11%

4Tyrone Taylor16%

5Ian Happ31%

6Nico Hoerner14%

7Matt Shaw19%

8Michael Busch22%

9Dansby Swanson27%

10Miguel Amaya24%

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Alec Gamboa BOS · LHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Slider+5 pts

Fastball-1 pts

Sinker-6 pts

Changeup+2 pts

Curveball+1 pts

Alec Gamboa with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Slider	35%	39%	20.0%	12.8%	21.6%
Fastball	40%	39%	7.4%	14.9%	18.6%
Sinker	22%	16%	10.0%	21.1%	17.7%
Changeup	2%	3%	50.0%	50.0%	18.3%
Curveball	2%	3%	0.0%	0.0%	21.2%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts1BTB expected 1.9 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line–over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 25	CHC	1.9	–	–	–	1