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Ben Rice

NYY · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Ben Rice · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.333.500.917.559.54718.8%25.0%30.4%86.7108.422.2%44.4%44.4%
Last 15 G1553.325.472.700.482.42517.0%20.8%20.5%91.0109.19.4%43.8%40.6%
Last 30 G2994.320.447.613.449.41619.1%17.0%19.9%89.9109.210.3%43.1%41.4%
90 days70222.245.369.500.376.38223.0%15.8%22.3%92.5110.213.4%50.7%35.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 134 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 20%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.000.000.000.000.08840.0%0.0%57.1%85.697.30.0%33.3%0.0%
Last 15 G914.167.286.417.371.31221.4%14.3%20.8%88.4103.611.1%33.3%11.1%
Last 30 G2241.286.390.400.379.36722.0%14.6%23.2%90.0105.47.7%46.2%30.8%
90 days59110.242.318.465.347.37028.2%8.2%28.1%91.2108.213.2%48.5%41.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 68 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 32%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.235.381.647.426.43823.8%19.0%36.7%86.4108.416.7%41.7%33.3%
Last 15 G1567.288.433.635.459.40217.9%19.4%20.5%90.4109.19.8%41.5%34.1%
Last 30 G30135.309.430.545.428.40120.0%16.3%20.9%89.9109.29.5%44.0%38.1%
90 days76332.244.352.488.367.37824.7%13.3%24.3%92.0110.213.4%50.0%37.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 202 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 24%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 7%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPSweeper77.688.2-1.307Out
Sep 24LHPSinker93.897.341.087Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup82.9101.1301.090Home run
Sep 23RHPChangeup87.061.6-62.231Out
Sep 23RHPCutter87.875.618.869Single
Sep 23RHPSinker91.9108.4361.674Home run
Sep 22RHPCutter87.165.144.336Out
Sep 22RHPSinker92.987.516.909Double
Sep 22RHPSlider83.499.647.025Out
Sep 20RHPCutter89.173.4-7.064Out
Sep 20RHPCutter94.4108.19.765Out
Sep 20LHPSinker97.671.2-32.044Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400011
Sep 23539210
Sep 22400003
Sep 22412011
Sep 20400010
Sep 19400001
Sep 18527120
Sep 16611031
Sep 15611001
Sep 14422010
FormNormal
Contact rating96Top tier
Last 100 pitches97steady
wOBA / xwOBA.368 / .389running 21 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run4/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.363
Barrel%8.2%
Hard-hit%31.0%
K%24.1%
BB%12.6%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Ben Rice · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Ben Rice · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Eduardo Rodriguez: 54.8% · 2 HSep 19 vs Brandon Pfaadt: 61.4% · no hitSep 22 vs Drew Rasmussen: 56.9% · no hitSep 23 vs Mason Englert: 62.0% · 3 HSep 24 vs Ian Seymour: 55.8% · no hitSep 25 vs Trevor Rogers: 62.2% · 1 HSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 6BTB expected 3.5
Games with 2+ TB2 of 6BTB expected 2.5
Games with a HR2 of 6BTB expected 1.1
Talent gradeAwOBA .363 · K% 24.1%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Trevor Rogers62.2%42.2%18.7%5110
Sep 24Ian Seymour55.8%33.9%19.1%4000
Sep 23Mason Englert62.0%45.6%24.4%5392
Sep 22Drew Rasmussen56.9%45.5%18.7%4000
Sep 19Brandon Pfaadt61.4%50.8%18.2%4000
Sep 18Eduardo Rodriguez54.8%36.9%13.9%5271
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.