← All players

Brandon Nimmo

TEX · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Brandon Nimmo · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G411.200.273.200.227.29236.4%9.1%30.0%87.8100.80.0%33.3%16.7%
Last 15 G1135.125.200.188.183.19742.9%8.6%35.8%90.2104.90.0%47.1%17.6%
Last 30 G2373.141.247.234.229.26331.5%11.0%27.6%91.9110.65.0%50.0%25.0%
90 days61184.170.255.273.243.27128.3%9.8%23.1%91.7110.64.5%49.1%30.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 112 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 21%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G49.286.444.286.356.34922.2%22.2%31.2%89.499.90.0%20.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1028.346.393.385.352.29525.0%7.1%35.7%89.3106.50.0%42.1%36.8%
Last 30 G2056.333.357.392.335.28221.4%5.4%29.0%91.7107.82.5%45.0%32.5%
90 days48114.390.421.552.440.35218.4%6.1%22.7%90.9108.14.7%45.9%38.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 85 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 22%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.235.350.235.285.31830.0%15.0%30.6%88.5100.80.0%27.3%18.2%
Last 15 G1563.224.286.276.258.24034.9%7.9%35.8%89.7106.50.0%44.4%27.8%
Last 30 G30129.226.295.304.275.27127.1%8.5%28.1%91.8110.63.8%47.5%28.8%
90 days72298.256.319.381.319.30224.5%8.4%23.0%91.3110.64.6%47.7%34.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 197 balls in play
Ground 51%Line drive 22%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 6%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPCutter90.891.373.000Out
Sep 23RHPSinker93.6100.637.521Out
Sep 23RHPSinker95.2100.85.593Single
Sep 23LHPSinker95.292.3-21.112Force out
Sep 22LHPSweeper77.370.333.717Single
Sep 22LHPFastball92.299.914.805Single
Sep 22RHPFastball98.267.25.194Out
Sep 19RHPSplitter89.788.315.917Single
Sep 19RHPSplitter91.678.435.067Out
Sep 18RHPChangeup79.491.2-7.220Double play
Sep 18LHPSinker86.393.2-20.114Out
Sep 17RHPSlider86.989.2-10.154Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300011
Sep 23411001
Sep 22422001
Sep 19411002
Sep 18500021
Sep 17400003
Sep 16412001
Sep 15411002
Sep 13422001
Sep 12524002
FormCold
Contact rating41Below average
Last 100 pitches12trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.317 / .307results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.323
Barrel%3.4%
Hard-hit%31.5%
K%24.2%
BB%8.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Brandon Nimmo · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Brandon Nimmo · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Dylan Cease: 45.5% · no hitSep 19 vs José Soriano: 50.0% · 1 HSep 20 vs Spencer Miles: 52.7% · not settledSep 23 vs Nolan McLean: 55.4% · 1 HSep 24 vs Zac Thornton: 57.3% · no hitSep 25 vs Joe Ryan: 64.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.1. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 4BTB expected 2.1
Games with 2+ TB0 of 4BTB expected 1.1
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeBwOBA .323 · K% 24.2%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Joe Ryan64.9%40.8%13.2%not settled
Sep 24Zac Thornton57.3%29.8%10.7%3000
Sep 23Nolan McLean55.4%28.1%8.1%4110
Sep 20Spencer Miles52.7%36.5%9.2%not settled
Sep 19José Soriano50.0%29.6%8.4%4110
Sep 18Dylan Cease45.5%22.4%8.4%5000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.