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Evan Carter
TEX · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handEvan Carter · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 13 | .273 | .308 | .273 | .331 | .327 | 15.4% | 7.7% | 20.8% | 75.7 | 105.6 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 40.0% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 39 | .212 | .289 | .303 | .297 | .327 | 30.8% | 7.7% | 29.5% | 78.8 | 105.9 | 4.3% | 30.4% | 34.8% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 74 | .197 | .260 | .303 | .267 | .275 | 27.0% | 6.8% | 24.3% | 82.6 | 105.9 | 2.1% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| 90 days | 68 | 172 | .219 | .300 | .338 | .300 | .287 | 24.4% | 9.3% | 25.3% | 85.5 | 107.8 | 3.6% | 33.9% | 32.1% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 112 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 20%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 13%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 2 | 3 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .017 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 80.6 | 80.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Last 15 G | 6 | 7 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .066 | 57.1% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 63.7 | 86.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Last 30 G | 12 | 17 | .125 | .125 | .125 | .125 | .118 | 41.2% | 0.0% | 27.6% | 64.9 | 95.7 | 0.0% | 10.0% | 20.0% |
| 90 days | 31 | 45 | .179 | .220 | .179 | .207 | .182 | 35.6% | 4.4% | 31.9% | 68.8 | 104.0 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 14.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 27 balls in play
Ground 67%Line drive 7%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 7%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 16 | .214 | .250 | .214 | .269 | .269 | 25.0% | 6.2% | 25.0% | 76.1 | 105.6 | 0.0% | 18.2% | 36.4% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 46 | .175 | .244 | .250 | .251 | .287 | 34.8% | 6.5% | 28.8% | 77.0 | 105.9 | 3.8% | 26.9% | 34.6% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 91 | .183 | .236 | .268 | .242 | .247 | 29.7% | 5.5% | 24.8% | 79.6 | 105.9 | 1.7% | 29.3% | 31.0% |
| 90 days | 70 | 217 | .211 | .284 | .305 | .282 | .266 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 26.7% | 82.3 | 107.8 | 2.9% | 31.7% | 28.8% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 139 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 17%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 12%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 95.4 | 86.0 | -22 | .093 | Force out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 94.8 | 90.0 | 53 | .011 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Changeup | 81.2 | 8.6 | -36 | .316 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 96.6 | 97.6 | 8 | .639 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 91.5 | 105.6 | 4 | .578 | Single |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Curveball | 87.8 | 89.9 | 16 | .876 | Single |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 97.5 | 67.1 | 31 | .869 | Single |
| Sep 19 | LHP | Sweeper | 84.7 | 80.6 | 50 | .052 | Out |
| Sep 19 | RHP | Fastball | 90.5 | 83.0 | 46 | .018 | Sac fly |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Curveball | 78.4 | 50.8 | 12 | .147 | Fielder's choice |
| Sep 18 | RHP | Sinker | 96.7 | 78.1 | 75 | .000 | Out |
| Sep 17 | RHP | Sweeper | 83.1 | 82.5 | 44 | .016 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
FormNormal
Contact rating11Poor
Last 100 pitches18trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.262 / .263results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit2/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.303
Barrel%2.7%
Hard-hit%21.2%
K%25.7%
BB%8.4%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA11.266
Avg EV582.3
Max EV28107.8
Barrel%152.9%
Hard-hit%2331.7%
Sweet-spot%928.8%
K%2226.7%
BB%478.3%
Whiff%2226.7%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 1 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 1.6. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
4 settled gamesGames with a hit1 of 4BTB expected 1.6
Games with 2+ TB1 of 4BTB expected 0.9
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeFwOBA .303 · K% 25.7%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Joe Ryan | 51.0% | 26.9% | 7.7% | not settled | |||
| Sep 23 | Nolan McLean | 48.3% | 23.9% | 5.5% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | Spencer Miles | 37.4% | 23.9% | 5.7% | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | José Soriano | 37.6% | 21.1% | 5.3% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Dylan Cease | 34.6% | 16.2% | 5.4% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |