MLBengine v14
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Brett Sullivan

COL · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 20, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

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Sep 26 · 6:10 PM CTvs Davis Martin RHPCOL @ CWS1+ hit 61.2%2+ TB 34.9%HR 10.3%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Brett Sullivan · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G38.250.250.250.225.31312.5%0.0%7.1%87.5100.70.0%42.9%28.6%
Last 15 G1231.133.161.167.155.20622.6%3.2%14.9%84.9103.50.0%27.3%31.8%
Last 30 G2567.222.269.413.318.30617.9%6.0%15.6%87.9105.56.1%34.7%34.7%
90 days3284.244.298.449.341.30217.9%7.1%15.2%88.3105.54.9%39.3%34.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 61 balls in play
Ground 28%Line drive 25%Fly ball 34%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G58.125.125.125.112.2520.0%0.0%0.0%91.1100.00.0%50.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1419.278.316.333.292.3850.0%5.3%3.1%87.4104.75.6%44.4%27.8%
Last 30 G2330.259.300.333.280.3293.3%6.7%5.4%84.6104.73.7%33.3%29.6%
90 days2533.233.273.300.255.3033.0%6.1%5.1%84.6104.73.3%33.3%26.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 30 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 23%Fly ball 3%Pop-up 27%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.188.188.188.169.2826.2%0.0%3.7%89.4100.70.0%46.7%13.3%
Last 15 G1550.188.220.229.208.27514.0%4.0%10.1%86.0104.72.5%35.0%30.0%
Last 30 G3097.233.278.389.306.31313.4%6.2%12.1%86.7105.55.3%34.2%32.9%
90 days37117.241.291.407.316.30213.7%6.8%12.2%87.0105.54.4%37.4%31.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 91 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 24%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 18%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball90.381.254.015Out
Sep 24LHPCurveball78.890.65.396Force out
Sep 24LHPCutter88.6100.0-9.250Force out
Sep 20LHPFastball93.498.22.434Out
Sep 20LHPCurveball81.895.0-7.235Force out
Sep 20RHPFastball96.580.466.006Out
Sep 17RHPChangeup87.196.712.928Single
Sep 17RHPSweeper83.284.572.003Out
Sep 17RHPChangeup91.297.711.821Single
Sep 17LHPFastball91.788.959.031Out
Sep 15RHPSlider89.280.174.000Out
Sep 15RHPCurveball79.072.436.388Double play
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300000
Sep 20400001
Sep 17422000
Sep 15411000
Sep 14100000
Sep 13400000
Sep 9400002
Sep 6200000
Sep 2111000
Sep 1423010
FormNormal
Contact rating34Below average
Last 100 pitches23trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.309 / .301results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAvgContact type
wOBA.310
Barrel%4.9%
Hard-hit%28.8%
K%19.2%
BB%7.8%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Brett Sullivan · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Brett Sullivan · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 20 vs Kade Anderson: 56.3% · no hitSep 24 vs Eduardo Rodriguez: 59.1% · no hitSep 20Sep 24

Hits in 0 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 1.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit0 of 2BTB expected 1.2
Games with 2+ TB0 of 2BTB expected 0.7
Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeNeuwOBA .310 · K% 19.2%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24Eduardo Rodriguez59.1%30.6%10.2%3000
Sep 20Kade Anderson56.3%36.2%8.3%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.