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Bryan Reynolds

PIT · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Bryan Reynolds · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.250.400.375.425.4089.1%18.2%30.8%79.697.70.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1536.226.286.387.336.31522.2%8.3%23.1%91.2104.713.0%52.2%34.8%
Last 30 G3077.284.355.463.376.42918.2%7.8%22.0%93.7111.515.1%56.6%45.3%
90 days70211.227.329.376.323.35425.6%11.4%25.1%90.6111.511.8%52.0%41.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 127 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 28%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.000.143.000.100.36728.6%14.3%22.2%97.7101.325.0%75.0%100.0%
Last 15 G1227.167.259.333.265.28918.5%7.4%23.0%88.0101.310.5%47.4%42.1%
Last 30 G2353.217.321.304.290.32518.9%11.3%24.8%89.0107.75.6%47.2%50.0%
90 days56127.237.315.342.306.30623.6%8.7%26.5%89.9113.28.4%42.2%42.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 83 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 24%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G518.143.294.214.291.39116.7%16.7%25.8%86.8101.310.0%50.0%60.0%
Last 15 G1563.200.274.364.305.30420.6%7.9%23.0%89.7104.711.9%50.0%38.1%
Last 30 G30130.257.341.398.340.38618.5%9.2%23.2%91.8111.511.2%52.8%47.2%
90 days77338.231.323.363.317.33624.9%10.4%25.6%90.3113.210.5%48.1%41.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 210 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 26%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPSinker94.2100.419.428Out
Sep 23LHPFastball94.8101.217.557Out
Sep 22RHPSlider89.292.137.061Out
Sep 22RHPFastball96.046.5-51.278Out
Sep 22RHPCutter92.896.116.698Double
Sep 20RHPChangeup78.897.748.032Out
Sep 20RHPFastball92.673.724.848Single
Sep 19LHPCurveball83.2101.324.835Out
Sep 19LHPCurveball81.187.832.052Out
Sep 19RHPChangeup85.571.6-3.063Force out
Sep 18RHPChangeup84.381.0-55.246Out
Sep 18RHPSinker91.299.52.384Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24100010
Sep 23400011
Sep 22512000
Sep 20411011
Sep 19400001
Sep 18524001
Sep 17512000
Sep 16400002
Sep 15400002
Sep 13522011
FormNormal
Contact rating75Above average
Last 100 pitches90trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.314 / .341running 28 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBBalanced type
wOBA.318
Barrel%6.4%
Hard-hit%29.6%
K%24.9%
BB%10.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Bryan Reynolds · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Bryan Reynolds · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Randy Dobnak: 54.8% · 2 HSep 19 vs Noah Cameron: 54.8% · no hitSep 20 vs Michael Wacha: 56.7% · 1 HSep 22 vs Andre Pallante: 58.0% · 1 HSep 23 vs Matthew Liberatore: 59.3% · no hitSep 25 vs Jackson Jobe: 58.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 5BTB expected 2.8
Games with 2+ TB2 of 5BTB expected 1.7
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeBwOBA .318 · K% 24.9%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jackson Jobe58.9%34.1%11.4%not settled
Sep 23Matthew Liberatore59.3%32.5%9.8%4000
Sep 22Andre Pallante58.0%36.2%9.4%4120
Sep 20Michael Wacha56.7%39.0%10.5%4110
Sep 19Noah Cameron54.8%34.4%9.4%4000
Sep 18Randy Dobnak54.8%30.6%9.0%5240
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.