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Ryan O'Hearn

PIT · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Ryan O'Hearn · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.200.273.200.309.31518.2%9.1%17.4%85.4103.612.5%37.5%12.5%
Last 15 G1340.250.325.389.340.26815.0%7.5%23.2%86.0103.63.3%30.0%26.7%
Last 30 G2569.200.290.333.293.27721.7%8.7%23.1%86.7104.36.5%39.1%26.1%
90 days35105.269.343.495.373.34020.0%8.6%21.5%88.6105.911.1%43.1%37.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 72 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 18%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G38.286.375.571.400.25937.5%12.5%50.0%96.3100.20.0%75.0%50.0%
Last 15 G921.105.190.211.186.24919.0%9.5%25.0%90.0100.20.0%33.3%26.7%
Last 30 G2052.174.269.239.239.29019.2%7.7%21.6%89.5102.55.6%36.1%36.1%
90 days2762.182.274.291.259.28519.4%8.1%19.6%88.8103.94.7%34.9%37.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 43 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 23%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 2%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.235.316.353.347.29126.3%10.5%28.6%89.0103.68.3%50.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1561.200.279.327.287.26116.4%8.2%23.8%87.3103.62.2%31.1%26.7%
Last 30 G30121.189.281.292.270.28320.7%8.3%22.4%87.9104.36.1%37.8%30.5%
90 days40167.236.317.419.330.31919.8%8.4%20.8%88.6105.98.7%40.0%37.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 115 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 20%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 10%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker95.1103.437.824Out
Sep 24LHPFastball94.2100.222.555Out
Sep 23LHPFastball92.399.345.045Double
Sep 23LHPFastball93.396.822.357Double
Sep 23RHPSweeper85.869.812.309Out
Sep 22RHPFastball95.588.96.414Single
Sep 22RHPFastball97.3101.94.554Fielder's choice
Sep 22RHPSlider89.291.1-8.162Out
Sep 20RHPCutter88.961.864.003Out
Sep 20RHPFastball96.5103.62.500Single
Sep 19LHPFastball92.588.86.414Out
Sep 19RHPCutter93.762.863.003Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400011
Sep 23324000
Sep 22411001
Sep 20411011
Sep 19400002
Sep 18500011
Sep 16422000
Sep 15411011
Sep 13400001
Sep 12414101
FormNormal
Contact rating61Average
Last 100 pitches55trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.331 / .328results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBBalanced type
wOBA.347
Barrel%5.5%
Hard-hit%27.9%
K%20.4%
BB%9.3%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Ryan O'Hearn · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Ryan O'Hearn · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Randy Dobnak: 53.0% · no hitSep 19 vs Noah Cameron: 48.2% · no hitSep 20 vs Michael Wacha: 53.1% · 1 HSep 22 vs Andre Pallante: 54.7% · 1 HSep 23 vs Matthew Liberatore: 56.5% · 2 HSep 24 vs Kyle Leahy: 57.4% · no hitSep 25 vs Jackson Jobe: 58.8% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 6BTB expected 3.2
Games with 2+ TB1 of 6BTB expected 1.9
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeBwOBA .347 · K% 20.4%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jackson Jobe58.8%33.6%10.7%not settled
Sep 24Kyle Leahy57.4%29.3%8.9%4000
Sep 23Matthew Liberatore56.5%30.0%8.0%3240
Sep 22Andre Pallante54.7%34.4%9.2%4110
Sep 20Michael Wacha53.1%37.7%10.4%4110
Sep 19Noah Cameron48.2%27.4%6.9%4000
Sep 18Randy Dobnak53.0%29.3%8.6%5000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.