← All players

Bryce Harper

PHI · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Bryce Harper · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G412.222.333.333.296.3110.0%16.7%30.4%87.1107.20.0%40.0%30.0%
Last 15 G1236.290.361.419.343.30819.4%11.1%35.4%89.5108.24.0%40.0%32.0%
Last 30 G2470.351.457.561.452.42218.6%17.1%31.0%91.3108.511.1%44.4%44.4%
90 days68209.294.416.529.413.40619.6%17.7%27.7%91.7112.69.9%48.1%38.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 131 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 24%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.200.200.200.200.26710.0%0.0%20.8%82.198.70.0%25.0%37.5%
Last 15 G1129.214.241.321.255.21027.6%3.4%31.7%83.1107.25.3%21.1%36.8%
Last 30 G2258.286.310.393.314.24031.0%3.4%32.3%84.6109.35.4%32.4%48.6%
90 days58128.215.336.308.301.26530.5%14.8%32.2%84.3109.34.4%25.0%38.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 68 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 21%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.211.273.263.255.2924.5%9.1%25.5%84.9107.20.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1565.254.308.373.305.26523.1%7.7%33.6%86.7108.24.5%31.8%34.1%
Last 30 G30128.319.391.478.390.34024.2%10.9%31.6%88.3109.38.5%39.0%46.3%
90 days77337.264.386.444.371.35223.7%16.6%29.5%89.2112.68.0%40.2%38.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 199 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 23%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPSinker95.192.68.512Single
Sep 24LHPSweeper82.472.450.152Out
Sep 24LHPSinker97.187.2-23.063Out
Sep 24LHPSlider86.898.711.855Single
Sep 23RHPChangeup84.783.361.017Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup84.377.760.008Out
Sep 22LHPSinker90.095.9-11.200Out
Sep 22LHPSweeper82.888.62.304Out
Sep 22LHPSweeper83.085.727.079Out
Sep 20RHPCutter92.797.0-23.108Force out
Sep 20RHPFastball91.395.328.276Out
Sep 20LHPSlider85.335.5-69.238Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24422000
Sep 23400010
Sep 22400010
Sep 20511000
Sep 19512001
Sep 18400003
Sep 17533011
Sep 16511011
Sep 15400001
Sep 13524001
FormCold
Contact rating84Excellent
Last 100 pitches3trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.366 / .356results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBBalanced type
wOBA.365
Barrel%4.9%
Hard-hit%24.6%
K%23.4%
BB%15.9%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Bryce Harper · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Bryce Harper · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Zac Thornton: 61.4% · no hitSep 19 vs Christian Scott: 58.9% · 1 HSep 20 vs Jonah Tong: 60.7% · 1 HSep 22 vs Dustin May: 61.6% · no hitSep 23 vs Logan Henderson: 66.2% · no hitSep 24 vs Shane Drohan: 60.2% · 2 HSep 25 vs Freddy Peralta: 62.5% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.7. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 6BTB expected 3.7
Games with 2+ TB2 of 6BTB expected 2.2
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 0.9
Talent gradeBwOBA .365 · K% 23.4%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Freddy Peralta62.5%38.3%15.5%not settled
Sep 24Shane Drohan60.2%31.1%14.0%4220
Sep 23Logan Henderson66.2%41.1%18.8%4000
Sep 22Dustin May61.6%39.9%15.8%4000
Sep 20Jonah Tong60.7%40.3%13.8%5110
Sep 19Christian Scott58.9%38.0%14.2%5120
Sep 18Zac Thornton61.4%33.7%12.0%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.