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Cal Raleigh

SEA · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Cal Raleigh · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.091.333.182.270.30426.7%26.7%27.0%87.6105.30.0%42.9%14.3%
Last 15 G1336.125.222.188.197.22033.3%11.1%30.3%90.7110.30.0%35.0%30.0%
Last 30 G2772.262.375.656.428.39427.8%15.3%30.5%93.4110.319.5%53.7%34.1%
90 days64173.197.335.408.332.32827.7%16.2%27.9%91.1110.313.8%42.6%31.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 94 balls in play
Ground 20%Line drive 19%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 28%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.200.333.800.450.5230.0%16.7%20.0%95.9111.720.0%40.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1330.174.333.478.357.37326.7%20.0%28.6%91.9112.418.8%50.0%31.2%
Last 30 G2456.234.339.511.368.35830.4%14.3%33.0%92.5112.412.9%48.4%38.7%
90 days58122.183.295.423.315.33235.2%13.1%32.7%93.1112.416.1%50.0%40.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 62 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 21%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 16%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.125.333.375.321.36719.0%23.8%25.5%91.0111.78.3%41.7%16.7%
Last 15 G1566.145.273.309.268.28930.3%15.2%29.6%91.2112.48.3%41.7%30.6%
Last 30 G30128.250.359.593.402.37828.9%14.8%31.6%93.0112.416.7%51.4%36.1%
90 days72295.191.319.415.325.33030.8%14.9%29.9%91.9112.414.7%45.5%35.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 156 balls in play
Ground 26%Line drive 20%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 23%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball95.8103.92.500Out
Sep 24LHPFastball86.998.43.422Out
Sep 23LHPFastball91.694.254.005Out
Sep 23RHPCutter89.5105.37.581Out
Sep 22LHPSlider84.192.147.000Out
Sep 22RHPSlider85.195.153.005Out
Sep 22RHPFastball93.479.068.005Out
Sep 20RHPSlider90.469.6-36.075Out
Sep 20RHPSlider88.585.969.011Out
Sep 19LHPSweeper77.783.052.013Out
Sep 19LHPSinker90.4111.7322.000Home run
Sep 19RHPFastball97.774.129.595Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400020
Sep 23500012
Sep 22400010
Sep 20400011
Sep 19426101
Sep 18400004
Sep 16523011
Sep 15400002
Sep 14414102
Sep 13511002
FormNormal
Contact rating71Above average
Last 100 pitches70steady
wOBA / xwOBA.325 / .337results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.347
Barrel%8.1%
Hard-hit%24.6%
K%30.1%
BB%14.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Cal Raleigh · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Cal Raleigh · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Gabriel Hughes: 52.1% · no hitSep 19 vs Jose Quintana: 53.7% · 2 HSep 20 vs Tomoyuki Sugano: 61.5% · no hitSep 22 vs Cristian Javier: 47.0% · no hitSep 23 vs Ethan Pecko: 56.0% · no hitSep 24 vs Grayson Rodriguez: 52.4% · no hitSep 18Sep 24

Hits in 1 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 6BTB expected 3.2
Games with 2+ TB1 of 6BTB expected 2.4
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 1.2
Talent gradeAwOBA .347 · K% 30.1%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24Grayson Rodriguez52.4%30.2%19.5%4000
Sep 23Ethan Pecko56.0%37.7%21.0%5000
Sep 22Cristian Javier47.0%34.5%17.8%4000
Sep 20Tomoyuki Sugano61.5%57.1%25.6%4000
Sep 19Jose Quintana53.7%44.4%19.2%4261
Sep 18Gabriel Hughes52.1%36.3%17.7%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.