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Christian Yelich

MIL · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Christian Yelich · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G414.154.214.385.257.23850.0%7.1%45.2%90.2106.116.7%50.0%0.0%
Last 15 G1441.194.268.361.276.26736.6%9.8%35.3%88.1106.19.1%45.5%31.8%
Last 30 G2981.300.370.514.391.33827.2%11.1%31.8%91.0107.910.0%48.0%32.0%
90 days66213.232.319.400.322.33324.9%10.8%27.8%89.3108.611.2%47.0%31.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 134 balls in play
Ground 60%Line drive 18%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 2%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G37.143.143.143.129.2010.0%0.0%0.0%79.5100.10.0%28.6%28.6%
Last 15 G917.188.235.188.200.24429.4%5.9%17.2%83.3101.90.0%36.4%27.3%
Last 30 G1837.171.216.229.203.29321.6%5.4%12.9%85.6105.87.4%37.0%29.6%
90 days3866.164.215.246.212.27930.3%6.1%18.5%85.6105.89.5%40.5%26.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 42 balls in play
Ground 62%Line drive 14%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.150.190.300.214.22633.3%4.8%33.3%84.4106.17.7%38.5%15.4%
Last 15 G1558.192.259.308.253.26034.5%8.6%30.7%86.5106.16.1%42.4%30.3%
Last 30 G30118.257.322.419.331.32425.4%9.3%25.8%89.1107.99.1%44.2%31.2%
90 days67279.215.295.362.296.32126.2%9.7%25.4%88.4108.610.8%45.5%30.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 176 balls in play
Ground 60%Line drive 17%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 2%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPCurveball79.580.4-33.052Out
Sep 23RHPCutter85.0106.1381.190Home run
Sep 23LHPFastball91.732.5-25.269Force out
Sep 22LHPSinker94.179.4-46.103Out
Sep 20RHPFastball95.473.1-35.064Out
Sep 18LHPSinker92.687.3-31.067Out
Sep 18LHPFastball90.275.13.137Out
Sep 18LHPSinker92.596.841.087Out
Sep 18LHPSinker95.985.328.067Out
Sep 18LHPSinker96.4100.19.676Single
Sep 16RHPSlider91.083.8-5.189Out
Sep 16RHPSinker96.296.55.552Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23314100
Sep 22400012
Sep 20400003
Sep 18511000
Sep 16511002
Sep 15400011
Sep 13411011
Sep 12522001
Sep 11400002
Sep 9414103
FormCold
Contact rating70Above average
Last 100 pitches8trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.293 / .335running 42 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.316
Barrel%6.6%
Hard-hit%28.6%
K%26.0%
BB%9.6%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Christian Yelich · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Christian Yelich · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Cade Povich: 55.8% · 1 HSep 20 vs Brandon Young: 58.0% · no hitSep 22 vs Zack Wheeler: 51.9% · no hitSep 23 vs Aaron Nola: 61.0% · 1 HSep 25 vs Michael McGreevy: 60.4% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.3. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 4BTB expected 2.3
Games with 2+ TB1 of 4BTB expected 1.3
Games with a HR1 of 4BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeNeuwOBA .316 · K% 26.0%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Michael McGreevy60.4%34.0%12.3%not settled
Sep 23Aaron Nola61.0%34.5%14.4%3141
Sep 22Zack Wheeler51.9%28.6%12.6%4000
Sep 20Brandon Young58.0%37.2%13.6%4000
Sep 18Cade Povich55.8%30.3%11.4%5110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.