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Jake Bauers

MIL · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 20, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Jake Bauers · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G36.400.500.600.475.25016.7%16.7%44.4%85.9104.10.0%50.0%25.0%
Last 15 G815.286.333.786.457.36220.0%6.7%33.3%90.1109.818.2%54.5%36.4%
Last 30 G1946.324.457.703.493.42423.9%17.4%28.2%87.6109.816.0%48.0%52.0%
90 days4085.294.424.647.451.39521.2%17.6%23.8%89.2111.116.0%44.0%46.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 50 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 20%Fly ball 42%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G414.167.286.250.254.19657.1%14.3%46.7%89.6105.725.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1443.258.465.419.405.39539.5%27.9%39.5%91.5109.821.4%42.9%57.1%
Last 30 G2776.236.447.345.376.38538.2%27.6%41.0%93.3110.111.5%53.8%46.2%
90 days67200.256.400.406.367.38531.5%19.5%33.9%92.9114.811.3%53.6%45.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 97 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 30%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.235.350.353.320.21245.0%15.0%46.2%87.8105.712.5%37.5%37.5%
Last 15 G1558.267.431.533.418.38734.5%22.4%38.0%90.9109.820.0%48.0%48.0%
Last 30 G30122.272.451.489.419.39932.8%23.8%35.7%90.5110.113.7%51.0%49.0%
90 days71285.268.407.478.392.38828.4%18.9%30.5%91.6114.812.9%50.3%45.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 147 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 27%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 7%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCurveball79.779.3-18.047Out
Sep 24LHPSinker96.4104.1-8.301Single
Sep 24LHPSlider88.897.128.399Double
Sep 23RHPFastball91.493.330.189Out
Sep 22RHPCutter90.780.26.272Single
Sep 20LHPSinker95.475.4-11.050Double play
Sep 20RHPSinker96.5105.719.835Double
Sep 18LHPSinker95.466.9-14.050Out
Sep 16RHPSinker99.1104.221.954Double
Sep 15RHPSlider88.890.916.869Single
Sep 15LHPFastball89.367.450.156Out
Sep 13LHPFastball93.0108.1211.420Home run
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24523002
Sep 23400003
Sep 22411003
Sep 20412020
Sep 18300011
Sep 16512022
Sep 15411002
Sep 13414101
Sep 12511012
Sep 11525101
FormCold
Contact rating97Top tier
Last 100 pitches41trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.391 / .396results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.373
Barrel%6.5%
Hard-hit%26.1%
K%27.8%
BB%17.9%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Jake Bauers · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Jake Bauers · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 20 vs Brandon Young: 60.7% · 1 HSep 22 vs Zack Wheeler: 54.7% · 1 HSep 23 vs Aaron Nola: 63.3% · no hitSep 24 vs Andrew Painter: 58.7% · 2 HSep 25 vs Michael McGreevy: 62.6% · not settledSep 20Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 4BTB expected 2.4
Games with 2+ TB2 of 4BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeAwOBA .373 · K% 27.8%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Michael McGreevy62.6%37.9%15.2%not settled
Sep 24Andrew Painter58.7%29.3%15.0%5230
Sep 23Aaron Nola63.3%36.8%18.7%4000
Sep 22Zack Wheeler54.7%32.0%15.5%4110
Sep 20Brandon Young60.7%42.5%17.5%4120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.