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Colton Cowser

BAL · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Colton Cowser · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.333.455.444.405.26236.4%18.2%35.3%86.3106.90.0%40.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1437.290.405.387.361.28037.8%16.2%34.2%90.6109.40.0%52.9%29.4%
Last 30 G2977.286.351.486.380.32431.2%9.1%28.8%92.1109.96.7%53.3%42.2%
90 days59145.228.324.370.320.33431.0%12.4%29.8%90.9109.97.4%53.1%37.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 81 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 25%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G45.400.400.400.360.15740.0%0.0%22.2%83.098.60.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G813.154.154.154.138.11146.2%0.0%20.8%77.198.60.0%14.3%42.9%
Last 30 G1624.136.167.273.188.15445.8%4.2%24.4%81.6103.60.0%25.0%41.7%
90 days2942.167.262.250.238.22042.9%11.9%25.9%85.6105.50.0%31.6%47.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 19 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 16%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.357.438.429.391.23037.5%12.5%30.8%85.1106.90.0%37.5%25.0%
Last 15 G1550.250.340.318.303.23640.0%12.0%30.9%86.7109.40.0%41.7%33.3%
Last 30 G30101.250.307.435.334.28334.7%7.9%27.8%89.9109.95.3%47.4%42.1%
90 days63187.215.310.344.302.30933.7%12.3%28.9%89.9109.96.0%49.0%39.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 100 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 23%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 5%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPFastball91.595.56.484Out
Sep 23RHPChangeup84.472.550.162Double
Sep 23LHPSweeper86.081.435.046Out
Sep 23RHPFastball91.078.065.013Out
Sep 20LHPSweeper84.169.14.177Single
Sep 20LHPSweeper82.398.69.564Single
Sep 18RHPCutter93.3106.9-1.447Single
Sep 18RHPSinker97.778.812.383Single
Sep 16RHPFastball90.8109.414.834Single
Sep 16LHPSinker99.051.1-14.088Out
Sep 15LHPSinker89.872.011.293Double play
Sep 15LHPSinker90.286.4-9.131Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23400012
Sep 23312000
Sep 21200011
Sep 20422002
Sep 18322001
Sep 16411011
Sep 15400001
Sep 14422001
Sep 13200002
Sep 12211001
FormCold
Contact rating47Average
Last 100 pitches16trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.303 / .312results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.297
Barrel%4.8%
Hard-hit%26.0%
K%33.5%
BB%10.6%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Colton Cowser · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Colton Cowser · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Dustin May: 40.9% · 2 HSep 20 vs Jacob Misiorowski: 36.3% · 2 HSep 23 vs CJ Van Eyk: 55.1% · 1 HSep 25 vs Brendan Beck: 54.5% · 2 HSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 1.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 4BTB expected 1.9
Games with 2+ TB4 of 4BTB expected 1.2
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeNeuwOBA .297 · K% 33.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Brendan Beck54.5%34.1%14.4%5230
Sep 23CJ Van Eyk55.1%34.3%13.2%3120
Sep 20Jacob Misiorowski36.3%25.6%10.3%4220
Sep 18Dustin May40.9%28.0%12.6%3220
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.