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Dansby Swanson

CHC · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Dansby Swanson · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G13.333.333.333.300.5100.0%0.0%0.0%101.8104.80.0%100.0%33.3%
Last 15 G511.444.545.667.518.4929.1%18.2%21.1%97.1104.80.0%62.5%50.0%
Last 30 G1627.375.444.625.457.39522.2%11.1%29.4%95.0106.15.6%61.1%38.9%
90 days2443.325.372.550.417.35030.2%7.0%33.7%93.3106.17.4%55.6%37.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 27 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 30%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.200.294.400.306.20635.3%11.8%27.9%81.1100.30.0%22.2%22.2%
Last 15 G1545.132.267.289.278.27528.9%13.3%28.3%84.9106.44.0%24.0%24.0%
Last 30 G3088.195.295.299.284.30023.9%11.4%29.0%85.8106.43.6%28.6%33.9%
90 days46132.223.288.421.322.32420.5%7.6%28.9%88.5106.95.3%37.2%33.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 94 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 21%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.222.300.389.305.25130.0%10.0%24.5%86.3104.80.0%41.7%25.0%
Last 15 G1556.191.321.362.325.31725.0%14.3%27.0%87.8106.43.0%33.3%30.3%
Last 30 G30115.238.330.376.325.32223.5%11.3%29.1%88.1106.44.1%36.5%35.1%
90 days46175.248.309.453.345.33022.9%7.4%30.1%89.6106.95.8%41.3%33.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 121 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 23%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 7%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker95.079.2-24.072Out
Sep 24RHPSinker99.964.52.110Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper80.395.426.288Out
Sep 23RHPCutter86.991.950.003Out
Sep 23RHPSlider88.670.114.306Single
Sep 22RHPSlider89.054.1-33.116Out
Sep 19LHPChangeup86.9104.86.566Out
Sep 19LHPSinker92.7103.38.666Single
Sep 19LHPChangeup87.997.3-4.299Force out
Sep 19RHPSweeper84.5100.334.674Home run
Sep 18RHPSlider81.482.3-28.045Force out
Sep 18RHPCutter91.792.14.483Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24300001
Sep 23411010
Sep 22500004
Sep 19425100
Sep 18411011
–000000
Aug 14311001
Aug 13300021
Aug 12526111
Aug 11400011
FormCold
Contact rating64Average
Last 100 pitches16trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.337 / .330results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeCBalanced type
wOBA.335
Barrel%5.3%
Hard-hit%29.2%
K%23.5%
BB%7.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Dansby Swanson · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Dansby Swanson · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Chase Burns: 51.2% · 1 HSep 19 vs Nick Lodolo: 55.7% · 2 HSep 22 vs Janson Junk: 55.9% · no hitSep 23 vs Ryan Gusto: 59.7% · 1 HSep 24 vs Tyler Phillips: 56.5% · no hitSep 25 vs Alec Gamboa: 59.7% · no hitSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 6BTB expected 3.4
Games with 2+ TB1 of 6BTB expected 2.1
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 0.8
Talent gradeCwOBA .335 · K% 23.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Alec Gamboa59.7%36.3%12.5%4000
Sep 24Tyler Phillips56.5%28.8%12.0%3000
Sep 23Ryan Gusto59.7%35.3%13.7%4110
Sep 22Janson Junk55.9%36.0%13.2%5000
Sep 19Nick Lodolo55.7%41.6%16.1%4251
Sep 18Chase Burns51.2%32.5%13.5%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.