MLBengine v14
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Daulton Varsho

HOU · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Daulton Varsho · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Tyler Mahle: 55.8% · no hitSep 19 vs Grant Holmes: 56.2% · no hitSep 18Sep 19

Hits in 0 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 1.1. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit0 of 2BTB expected 1.1
Games with 2+ TB0 of 2BTB expected 0.7
Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.3

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 19Grant Holmes56.2%36.9%13.2%3000
Sep 18Tyler Mahle55.8%30.5%12.1%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.