MLBengine v14
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Henry Davis

PIT · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

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Sep 26 · 12:10 PM CTvs Justin Verlander RHPPIT @ DET1+ hit 49.8%2+ TB 26.0%HR 8.5%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Henry Davis · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.111.385.222.312.34315.4%30.8%23.1%89.1110.00.0%57.1%28.6%
Last 15 G1226.222.440.444.406.4417.7%19.2%18.8%87.3110.05.9%64.7%52.9%
Last 30 G2355.205.352.295.316.36014.5%12.7%18.4%87.2110.08.3%47.2%41.7%
90 days3483.224.366.328.330.32618.1%13.3%22.4%85.5110.05.8%42.3%38.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 52 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 21%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.200.200.800.450.45333.3%0.0%40.0%98.9110.233.3%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1019.062.118.250.200.23436.8%5.3%38.6%88.5110.210.0%30.0%10.0%
Last 30 G2042.111.175.194.188.21128.6%7.1%31.6%90.1110.23.8%38.5%15.4%
90 days2856.140.185.260.209.22126.8%5.4%28.2%89.3110.22.7%40.5%24.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 37 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 16%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 32%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.143.333.429.355.37821.1%21.1%29.3%92.1110.210.0%50.0%30.0%
Last 15 G1545.147.310.353.320.35520.0%13.3%28.3%87.7110.27.4%51.9%37.0%
Last 30 G3097.162.277.250.260.29520.6%10.3%24.7%88.4110.26.5%43.5%30.6%
90 days42139.188.294.299.281.28421.6%10.1%24.9%87.1110.24.5%41.6%32.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 89 balls in play
Ground 34%Line drive 19%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 23%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSinker95.395.01.395Out
Sep 24RHPSlider88.371.58.266Force out
Sep 18RHPSinker92.599.918.442Double
Sep 18RHPSweeper84.782.958.040Out
Sep 17LHPSinker97.6110.2262.008Home run
Sep 13LHPSlider84.194.345.005Out
Sep 13LHPFastball92.392.343.007Out
Sep 13RHPCutter91.097.057.008Out
Sep 13RHPSlider91.967.5-56.285Out
Sep 12RHPSinker95.3110.0-15.225Force out
Sep 11LHPSlider85.484.371.007Out
Sep 11LHPSplitter82.985.441.025Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400002
Sep 18412011
Sep 17414111
Sep 13400000
Sep 12300020
Sep 11200000
Sep 6314100
Sep 4300000
Sep 1411011
Aug 28200001
FormNormal
Contact rating21Poor
Last 100 pitches58trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.278 / .285results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.266
Barrel%4.7%
Hard-hit%25.7%
K%23.3%
BB%8.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Henry Davis · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Henry Davis · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Randy Dobnak: 41.2% · 1 HSep 24 vs Kyle Leahy: 49.7% · no hitSep 18Sep 24

Hits in 1 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 0.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 2BTB expected 0.9
Games with 2+ TB1 of 2BTB expected 0.5
Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeFwOBA .266 · K% 23.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24Kyle Leahy49.7%23.8%8.1%4000
Sep 18Randy Dobnak41.2%23.4%7.7%4120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.