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J.T. Realmuto

PHI · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
J.T. Realmuto · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.000.154.000.108.20838.5%15.4%25.0%88.198.60.0%33.3%50.0%
Last 15 G1435.188.257.312.256.27431.4%8.6%27.6%87.3105.214.3%38.1%52.4%
Last 30 G2875.209.280.358.281.31224.0%9.3%25.2%88.8106.710.0%44.0%44.0%
90 days59179.209.274.331.273.30724.6%7.3%22.4%88.8111.26.8%41.5%35.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 118 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 22%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.000.286.000.200.31028.6%28.6%25.0%95.7106.00.0%66.7%0.0%
Last 15 G1124.000.167.000.117.27229.2%12.5%21.4%90.0106.00.0%30.8%23.1%
Last 30 G2043.118.256.206.223.32920.9%14.0%18.4%89.4106.03.7%29.6%37.0%
90 days3265.212.323.346.304.33321.5%10.8%18.6%91.9109.42.5%42.5%40.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 40 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 20%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.000.200.000.140.24335.0%20.0%25.0%90.7106.00.0%44.4%33.3%
Last 15 G1559.115.220.192.199.27330.5%10.2%25.0%88.4106.08.8%35.3%41.2%
Last 30 G30118.178.271.307.260.31822.9%11.0%22.8%89.0106.77.8%39.0%41.6%
90 days63244.209.287.335.281.31423.8%8.2%21.5%89.6111.25.7%41.8%36.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 158 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCutter92.197.129.434Out
Sep 24RHPSinker96.283.6-4.135Out
Sep 23RHPFastball93.883.955.025Out
Sep 23RHPCutter87.871.3-1.085Out
Sep 23LHPSinker95.8106.05.579Out
Sep 22LHPSinker90.2101.545.070Out
Sep 22LHPSinker94.579.6-6.122Out
Sep 19RHPCutter89.294.324.217Out
Sep 19RHPFastball96.298.621.409Out
Sep 18LHPChangeup85.193.732.279Out
Sep 18LHPCutter90.063.658.003Out
Sep 18RHPFastball98.889.930.094Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24400011
Sep 23400001
Sep 22400011
Sep 20400022
Sep 19400002
Sep 18400000
Sep 16500012
Sep 15400001
Sep 13537101
Sep 12222000
FormCold
Contact rating54Average
Last 100 pitches3trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.281 / .320running 39 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit3/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.294
Barrel%4.2%
Hard-hit%27.4%
K%23.7%
BB%7.8%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

J.T. Realmuto · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

J.T. Realmuto · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Zac Thornton: 52.2% · no hitSep 19 vs Christian Scott: 47.5% · no hitSep 20 vs Jonah Tong: 47.6% · no hitSep 22 vs Dustin May: 47.8% · no hitSep 23 vs Logan Henderson: 55.4% · no hitSep 24 vs Shane Drohan: 54.0% · no hitSep 25 vs Freddy Peralta: 55.7% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 0 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit0 of 6BTB expected 3.0
Games with 2+ TB0 of 6BTB expected 1.8
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeNeuwOBA .294 · K% 23.7%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Freddy Peralta55.7%32.5%11.6%not settled
Sep 24Shane Drohan54.0%29.1%12.0%4000
Sep 23Logan Henderson55.4%32.0%10.4%4000
Sep 22Dustin May47.8%29.4%10.1%4000
Sep 20Jonah Tong47.6%29.8%8.0%4000
Sep 19Christian Scott47.5%28.2%8.1%4000
Sep 18Zac Thornton52.2%29.6%9.7%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.