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Jackson Chourio

MIL · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Jackson Chourio · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Cade Povich: 67.7% · 2 HSep 19 vs Trevor Rogers: 68.1% · no hitSep 20 vs Brandon Young: 65.6% · 1 HSep 22 vs Zack Wheeler: 60.9% · no hitSep 23 vs Aaron Nola: 67.2% · 1 HSep 18Sep 23

Hits in 3 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 3.3. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 5BTB expected 3.3
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 2.2
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.8

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 23Aaron Nola67.2%41.4%18.0%4110
Sep 22Zack Wheeler60.9%36.5%14.3%4000
Sep 20Brandon Young65.6%45.8%15.2%4110
Sep 19Trevor Rogers68.1%48.3%16.2%4000
Sep 18Cade Povich67.7%44.9%18.1%6251
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.