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Jonathan Aranda

TB · Hitter · 4 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Jonathan Aranda · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G38.250.250.375.269.35512.5%0.0%18.8%79.6102.514.3%42.9%42.9%
Last 15 G919.333.316.667.397.32421.1%0.0%18.9%85.0102.513.3%40.0%46.7%
Last 30 G1532.258.250.548.327.25025.0%0.0%20.3%86.1102.512.5%41.7%33.3%
90 days4079.230.266.365.286.30327.8%3.8%19.2%89.4108.211.3%47.2%45.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 53 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 28%Fly ball 32%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G49.111.111.444.222.11955.6%0.0%20.8%88.998.70.0%50.0%25.0%
Last 15 G1441.222.317.500.372.27234.1%9.8%28.6%91.8103.74.5%45.5%31.8%
Last 30 G2888.221.318.455.346.32629.5%9.1%24.6%93.0110.05.9%49.0%45.1%
90 days71236.274.343.429.344.32224.6%8.1%20.5%91.9110.97.7%46.5%40.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 155 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 23%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.176.176.412.244.23035.3%0.0%20.0%83.0102.59.1%45.5%36.4%
Last 15 G1560.259.317.556.380.28930.0%6.7%25.6%89.0103.78.1%43.2%37.8%
Last 30 G30120.231.300.481.341.30628.3%6.7%23.6%90.8110.08.0%46.7%41.3%
90 days74315.262.324.413.329.31725.4%7.0%20.2%91.3110.98.7%46.6%41.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 208 balls in play
Ground 39%Line drive 24%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 8%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPCurveball83.798.4-25.094Out
Sep 23LHPSinker88.551.02.099Out
Sep 22LHPSlider86.298.916.623Single
Sep 22LHPSlider86.2102.5291.265Out
Sep 19RHPChangeup89.464.40.075Out
Sep 19RHPFastball96.998.731.717Home run
Sep 18LHPChangeup82.454.9-59.190Out
Sep 18LHPCurveball77.394.348.010Out
Sep 18LHPSlider86.457.5-13.077Force out
Sep 18LHPSinker88.598.125.578Double
Sep 18RHPChangeup84.593.9-6.184Out
Sep 17LHPFastball92.197.121.303Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23400002
Sep 22311001
Sep 22100001
Sep 19414102
Sep 18512000
Sep 17512012
Sep 15411002
Sep 13528212
Sep 12411010
Sep 11412001
FormCold
Contact rating76Above average
Last 100 pitches28trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.331 / .343results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.346
Barrel%6.0%
Hard-hit%30.9%
K%25.3%
BB%7.3%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Jonathan Aranda · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Jonathan Aranda · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Ranger Suarez: 63.8% · 1 HSep 19 vs Brayan Bello: 66.9% · 1 HSep 23 vs Gerrit Cole: 69.3% · no hitSep 25 vs Cristopher Sánchez: 65.1% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 3 settled games; the projections added up to 2.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

3 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 3BTB expected 2.0
Games with 2+ TB2 of 3BTB expected 1.1
Games with a HR1 of 3BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeAwOBA .346 · K% 25.3%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Cristopher Sánchez65.1%36.4%9.2%not settled
Sep 23Gerrit Cole69.3%41.7%18.2%4000
Sep 19Brayan Bello66.9%40.7%11.1%4141
Sep 18Ranger Suarez63.8%31.3%9.1%5120
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.