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Lawrence Butler

OAK · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Lawrence Butler · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.375.412.500.400.40823.5%5.9%32.3%91.3110.816.7%41.7%41.7%
Last 15 G1550.283.340.609.399.37732.0%6.0%29.2%89.6110.820.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 30 G2791.321.407.590.423.39130.8%12.1%23.2%92.4110.815.7%47.1%37.3%
90 days68194.285.381.497.381.36525.3%13.4%20.8%91.4110.811.0%47.5%35.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 118 balls in play
Ground 49%Line drive 18%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.600.6671.000.717.52714.3%14.3%12.5%88.3102.60.0%80.0%20.0%
Last 15 G1216.308.400.462.393.3606.2%12.5%8.7%85.3102.60.0%30.8%15.4%
Last 30 G2140.286.359.429.354.32427.5%10.0%21.3%89.9107.84.0%48.0%20.0%
90 days52109.253.336.432.350.31525.7%10.1%23.5%88.7107.87.2%44.9%27.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 69 balls in play
Ground 59%Line drive 16%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G524.429.478.619.483.43920.8%8.3%28.2%90.4110.811.8%52.9%35.3%
Last 15 G1566.288.354.576.398.37425.8%7.6%25.6%88.3110.814.0%32.6%27.9%
Last 30 G30131.310.392.540.402.37129.8%11.5%22.7%91.5110.811.8%47.4%31.6%
90 days77303.273.365.473.370.34725.4%12.2%21.7%90.4110.89.6%46.5%32.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 187 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 17%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 8%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball92.9109.0191.101Double
Sep 24RHPFastball97.490.42.296Single
Sep 24RHPChangeup86.082.58.407Single
Sep 23RHPChangeup92.690.30.275Out
Sep 23LHPFastball90.6101.20.386Single
Sep 23RHPSinker96.1103.010.812Out
Sep 23RHPSinker100.9101.73.503Single
Sep 22LHPCurveball84.1102.636.959Triple
Sep 22LHPFastball95.1102.0-12.244Double play
Sep 22RHPSlider85.9110.8181.181Double
Sep 22LHPSlider86.3100.29.676Single
Sep 22LHPFastball91.835.5-17–Sac bunt
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24534002
Sep 23522001
Sep 22536000
Sep 20400012
Sep 19511010
Sep 18400021
Sep 17425101
Sep 16411002
Sep 15400002
Sep 13528201
FormNormal
Contact rating79Above average
Last 100 pitches100trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.364 / .348running 16 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Lawrence Butler · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Lawrence Butler · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Daniel Espino: 58.5% · no hitSep 19 vs Tanner Bibee: 59.4% · 1 HSep 20 vs Gavin Williams: 51.6% · no hitSep 22 vs Yusei Kikuchi: 59.1% · 3 HSep 23 vs Walbert Ureña: 63.6% · 2 HSep 24 vs Peter Lambert: 61.9% · 3 HSep 25 vs Hunter Brown: 60.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 6BTB expected 3.5
Games with 2+ TB3 of 6BTB expected 2.1
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 0.8
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Hunter Brown60.9%35.1%12.4%not settled
Sep 24Peter Lambert61.9%34.1%16.6%5340
Sep 23Walbert Ureña63.6%37.1%15.7%5220
Sep 22Yusei Kikuchi59.1%36.0%13.5%5360
Sep 20Gavin Williams51.6%30.7%12.1%4000
Sep 19Tanner Bibee59.4%37.3%13.1%5110
Sep 18Daniel Espino58.5%32.9%11.7%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.