← All players
Nathan Lukes
TOR · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handNathan Lukes · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 15 | .308 | .333 | .308 | .287 | .397 | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 92.5 | 101.1 | 0.0% | 53.8% | 53.8% |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 40 | .270 | .300 | .297 | .269 | .282 | 15.0% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 87.1 | 101.1 | 3.1% | 34.4% | 40.6% |
| Last 30 G | 28 | 86 | .312 | .349 | .450 | .359 | .325 | 14.0% | 4.7% | 10.9% | 89.0 | 105.0 | 5.8% | 42.0% | 39.1% |
| 90 days | 71 | 225 | .268 | .318 | .376 | .318 | .299 | 12.9% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 86.6 | 106.1 | 3.9% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 180 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 19%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 5%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 3 | 5 | .500 | .600 | .500 | .500 | .410 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 10.0% | 87.1 | 102.5 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 25.0% |
| Last 15 G | 5 | 11 | .556 | .600 | .556 | .610 | .482 | 0.0% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 74.7 | 102.5 | 0.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Last 30 G | 12 | 23 | .381 | .409 | .571 | .466 | .271 | 8.7% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 78.9 | 102.5 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 30.0% |
| 90 days | 30 | 55 | .245 | .288 | .347 | .308 | .274 | 16.4% | 3.6% | 10.8% | 79.9 | 102.5 | 0.0% | 16.3% | 30.2% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 43 balls in play
Ground 65%Line drive 16%Fly ball 16%Pop-up 2%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 20 | .353 | .400 | .353 | .340 | .400 | 5.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 91.3 | 102.5 | 0.0% | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 51 | .326 | .360 | .348 | .337 | .322 | 11.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 84.2 | 102.5 | 2.4% | 33.3% | 38.1% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 109 | .327 | .361 | .475 | .381 | .314 | 12.8% | 4.6% | 10.6% | 86.7 | 105.0 | 4.5% | 37.1% | 37.1% |
| 90 days | 73 | 280 | .264 | .313 | .370 | .316 | .294 | 13.6% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 85.3 | 106.1 | 3.1% | 30.0% | 32.7% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 223 balls in play
Ground 56%Line drive 18%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 5%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | RHP | Changeup | 84.3 | 100.1 | 10 | .754 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Fastball | 94.7 | 101.1 | 22 | .675 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Cutter | 89.7 | 97.1 | 8 | .627 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 93.4 | 97.3 | -17 | .146 | Fielder's choice |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Sinker | 93.1 | 90.3 | 1 | .241 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sweeper | 85.9 | 84.2 | 7 | .334 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Slider | 88.2 | 88.7 | 10 | .476 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Curveball | 72.7 | 72.7 | 46 | .203 | Out |
| Sep 21 | RHP | Cutter | 89.1 | 79.7 | -31 | .054 | Out |
| Sep 21 | RHP | Fastball | 95.4 | 94.8 | 10 | .689 | Single |
| Sep 21 | RHP | Splitter | 90.1 | 96.2 | -9 | .227 | Double play |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Changeup | 90.3 | 98.4 | 18 | .408 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 23 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
FormHot
Contact rating40Below average
Last 100 pitches94trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.303 / .307results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.318
Barrel%2.8%
Hard-hit%24.4%
K%14.2%
BB%6.3%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA30.294
Avg EV2285.3
Max EV12106.1
Barrel%173.1%
Hard-hit%1530.0%
Sweet-spot%3232.7%
K%8913.6%
BB%236.1%
Whiff%9412.1%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 2 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 2.4. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
4 settled gamesGames with a hit2 of 4BTB expected 2.4
Games with 2+ TB2 of 4BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.3
Talent gradeFwOBA .318 · K% 14.2%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Nick Lodolo | 64.8% | 34.5% | 7.2% | not settled | |||
| Sep 23 | Trey Gibson | 66.5% | 37.5% | 9.5% | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | Jacob deGrom | 56.6% | 32.9% | 7.3% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Cal Quantrill | 59.3% | 33.9% | 7.5% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Kumar Rocker | 60.3% | 31.0% | 8.1% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |