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Nicky Lopez

TEX · Hitter · 5 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Nicky Lopez · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.300.462.300.375.5017.7%7.7%15.0%86.7100.10.0%33.3%44.4%
Last 15 G1434.360.467.400.445.43411.8%5.9%17.5%74.8100.10.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 30 G2658.277.370.340.349.33417.2%5.2%16.0%77.0100.10.0%22.5%32.5%
90 days58134.265.333.310.323.30117.2%6.0%18.0%80.3101.60.0%21.4%27.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 98 balls in play
Ground 61%Line drive 21%Fly ball 13%Pop-up 4%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G11.000.000.000.000.000100.0%0.0%33.3%–––––
Last 15 G22.000.000.000.000.06450.0%0.0%25.0%89.989.90.0%0.0%100.0%
Last 30 G99.000.000.000.000.10922.2%0.0%10.5%89.196.10.0%14.3%42.9%
90 days2845.200.233.200.214.24717.8%2.2%12.0%80.3104.70.0%20.6%35.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 34 balls in play
Ground 56%Line drive 18%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 3%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G514.273.429.273.346.46314.3%7.1%17.4%86.7100.10.0%33.3%44.4%
Last 15 G1536.333.438.370.415.40913.9%5.6%18.0%75.4100.10.0%32.0%36.0%
Last 30 G3067.236.317.291.298.30117.9%4.5%15.2%78.8100.10.0%21.3%34.0%
90 days64179.248.308.281.295.28717.3%5.0%16.4%80.3104.70.0%21.2%29.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 132 balls in play
Ground 60%Line drive 21%Fly ball 16%Pop-up 4%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPSinker93.791.713.921Single
Sep 23RHPSinker94.070.7-2.063Out
Sep 20RHPSinker95.396.11.443Out
Sep 20RHPChangeup85.481.5-26.056Out
Sep 19RHPSinker95.771.6-34.064Out
Sep 18RHPSlider86.091.710.605Single
Sep 18RHPChangeup76.780.317.916Single
Sep 18RHPFastball91.8100.115.716Out
Sep 18RHPFastball99.396.80.374Force out
Sep 17RHPFastball90.136.4-48–Sac bunt
Sep 13LHPCutter95.389.926.129Out
Sep 12RHPChangeup85.071.8-59.286Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23311001
Sep 22100000
Sep 20200000
Sep 19300010
Sep 18522001
Sep 17300011
Sep 13100000
Sep 12300000
Sep 11400001
Sep 10322000
FormNormal
Contact rating17Poor
Last 100 pitches93trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.265 / .277results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeFBalanced type
wOBA.280
Barrel%1.4%
Hard-hit%19.1%
K%18.1%
BB%6.9%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Nicky Lopez · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Nicky Lopez · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Dylan Cease: 39.5% · 2 HSep 19 vs José Soriano: 45.8% · no hitSep 20 vs Spencer Miles: 45.1% · no hitSep 23 vs Nolan McLean: 52.0% · 1 HSep 25 vs Joe Ryan: 56.0% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 4 settled games; the projections added up to 1.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

4 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 4BTB expected 1.8
Games with 2+ TB1 of 4BTB expected 0.9
Games with a HR0 of 4BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeFwOBA .280 · K% 18.1%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Joe Ryan56.0%27.0%3.9%not settled
Sep 23Nolan McLean52.0%25.1%4.1%3110
Sep 20Spencer Miles45.1%27.2%4.3%2000
Sep 19José Soriano45.8%24.3%3.9%3000
Sep 18Dylan Cease39.5%16.7%3.9%5220
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.