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Oneil Cruz

PIT · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Oneil Cruz · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.364.462.727.565.41715.4%7.7%25.0%83.0110.911.1%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G1437.273.351.606.439.38127.0%8.1%35.7%88.9117.418.2%45.5%36.4%
Last 30 G2775.290.413.565.440.37826.7%16.0%30.3%89.6117.417.1%39.0%39.0%
90 days2878.292.410.600.449.38928.2%15.4%29.7%90.0117.419.0%40.5%40.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 42 balls in play
Ground 52%Line drive 19%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G48.500.500.625.494.31212.5%0.0%0.0%91.8111.30.0%57.1%14.3%
Last 15 G1327.440.481.480.431.33118.5%7.4%9.8%88.9115.90.0%40.0%35.0%
Last 30 G2554.340.389.420.361.28631.5%7.4%25.3%90.5115.96.1%42.4%33.3%
90 days2554.340.389.420.361.28631.5%7.4%25.3%90.5115.96.1%42.4%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 33 balls in play
Ground 64%Line drive 24%Fly ball 12%Pop-up 0%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.421.476.684.538.37714.3%4.8%14.3%86.8111.36.2%43.8%25.0%
Last 15 G1564.345.406.552.436.36023.4%7.8%24.7%88.9117.49.5%42.9%35.7%
Last 30 G30129.312.403.500.406.33928.7%12.4%28.2%90.0117.412.2%40.5%36.5%
90 days31132.313.402.522.412.34629.5%12.1%27.9%90.3117.413.3%41.3%37.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 75 balls in play
Ground 57%Line drive 21%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 3%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPFastball90.3111.37.683Single
Sep 24LHPFastball95.688.048.008Out
Sep 24RHPChangeup88.7108.914.834Double
Sep 24LHPFastball90.1103.3-5.378Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball77.066.1-69.254Out
Sep 22RHPCurveball80.481.231.093Out
Sep 20RHPCutter88.7110.951.142Out
Sep 20RHPCurveball75.2104.5321.566Home run
Sep 20LHPSinker90.275.4-35.057Out
Sep 20RHPSlider86.354.533.165Out
Sep 19LHPSinker92.495.38.576Single
Sep 19LHPSlider86.870.643.350Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24423000
Sep 22400011
Sep 20414100
Sep 19422001
Sep 18534001
Sep 17511002
Sep 16525102
Sep 15400004
Sep 13511030
Sep 12500001
FormHot
Contact rating82Excellent
Last 100 pitches96trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.412 / .354running 58 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeABalanced type
wOBA.353
Barrel%7.8%
Hard-hit%26.6%
K%29.6%
BB%11.6%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Oneil Cruz · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Oneil Cruz · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Randy Dobnak: 53.5% · 3 HSep 19 vs Noah Cameron: 53.6% · 2 HSep 20 vs Michael Wacha: 57.3% · 1 HSep 22 vs Andre Pallante: 58.4% · no hitSep 24 vs Kyle Leahy: 57.5% · 2 HSep 25 vs Jackson Jobe: 56.1% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 5BTB expected 2.8
Games with 2+ TB4 of 5BTB expected 1.6
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeAwOBA .353 · K% 29.6%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jackson Jobe56.1%33.1%15.4%not settled
Sep 24Kyle Leahy57.5%28.5%12.2%4230
Sep 22Andre Pallante58.4%33.8%12.8%4000
Sep 20Michael Wacha57.3%37.6%13.8%4141
Sep 19Noah Cameron53.6%30.9%10.4%4220
Sep 18Randy Dobnak53.5%28.6%11.7%5340
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.