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Royce Lewis

MIN · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 17, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Royce Lewis · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G513.154.154.154.208.18430.8%0.0%41.4%84.9105.00.0%22.2%33.3%
Last 15 G1437.114.135.114.141.23532.4%2.7%36.6%89.5107.44.2%33.3%33.3%
Last 30 G2981.171.198.237.215.27024.7%3.7%30.8%88.5109.65.2%31.0%31.0%
90 days70213.222.277.366.290.30923.9%7.0%31.0%90.6110.07.5%39.7%32.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 146 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 20%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 21%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G38.375.375.500.381.30125.0%0.0%25.0%90.4106.70.0%33.3%33.3%
Last 15 G922.227.227.318.236.21227.3%0.0%25.0%88.4106.70.0%31.2%25.0%
Last 30 G1939.211.231.263.221.21520.5%2.6%23.8%85.9106.73.3%30.0%26.7%
90 days4587.256.299.402.317.30023.0%5.7%28.5%87.5109.69.7%37.1%37.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 62 balls in play
Ground 32%Line drive 26%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 18%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.238.238.286.274.22928.6%0.0%35.6%87.1106.70.0%26.7%33.3%
Last 15 G1559.158.169.193.176.22630.5%1.7%32.5%89.1107.42.5%32.5%30.0%
Last 30 G30120.184.208.246.217.25223.3%3.3%28.6%87.6109.64.5%30.7%29.5%
90 days73300.232.283.377.298.30623.7%6.7%30.3%89.7110.08.2%38.9%34.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 208 balls in play
Ground 36%Line drive 22%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 20%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPFastball91.782.377.009Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup87.793.011.676Single
Sep 23RHPCutter89.567.613.329Force out
Sep 22RHPSlider88.095.48.576Out
Sep 22RHPFastball96.173.877.003Out
Sep 20LHPFastball88.582.618.903Single
Sep 20LHPCutter89.081.0-15.059Out
Sep 19LHPSlider87.6106.7-2.426Double
Sep 19LHPSweeper79.397.033.335Out
Sep 19RHPCurveball84.785.612.654Single
Sep 19RHPFastball101.288.451.012Double play
Sep 18RHPSlider84.674.7-3.088Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23411001
Sep 22300001
Sep 20511003
Sep 19523001
Sep 18411000
Sep 17500004
Sep 16500001
Sep 15411000
Sep 13200000
Sep 12411011
FormNormal
Contact rating62Average
Last 100 pitches2trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.301 / .329running 27 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Royce Lewis · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Royce Lewis · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 17 vs Walbert Ureña: 56.4% · no hitSep 18 vs Grayson Rodriguez: 55.1% · 1 HSep 19 vs Reid Detmers: 55.1% · 2 HSep 22 vs Anthony Molina: 57.5% · no hitSep 23 vs Cesar Perdomo: 63.2% · 1 HSep 25 vs Jacob deGrom: 58.4% · not settledSep 17Sep 25

Hits in 3 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 5BTB expected 2.9
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 1.5
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.5
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jacob deGrom58.4%33.1%11.2%not settled
Sep 23Cesar Perdomo63.2%33.6%10.4%4110
Sep 22Anthony Molina57.5%29.5%9.0%3000
Sep 19Reid Detmers55.1%31.0%11.1%5230
Sep 18Grayson Rodriguez55.1%26.7%9.6%4110
Sep 17Walbert Ureña56.4%27.9%9.7%5000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.