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Shohei Ohtani

LAD · Hitter · 3 games projected since Sep 23, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Shohei Ohtani · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G58.333.750.333.550.51725.0%37.5%54.5%99.099.00.0%100.0%100.0%
Last 15 G1323.118.348.176.276.33530.4%17.4%33.3%89.6107.50.0%50.0%40.0%
Last 30 G2552.222.327.422.347.37626.9%9.6%33.3%89.1111.712.9%41.9%35.5%
90 days45104.272.346.565.399.41126.0%8.7%35.2%90.8112.616.9%46.2%38.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 65 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 25%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 3%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.200.250.267.234.34143.8%6.2%44.4%92.3106.850.0%62.5%50.0%
Last 15 G1448.171.292.244.255.33935.4%14.6%35.8%93.1112.920.8%50.0%41.7%
Last 30 G2584.240.321.467.345.36329.8%10.7%31.7%93.5112.916.3%49.0%42.9%
90 days50159.248.333.440.350.37525.8%11.3%33.2%93.8112.914.3%53.1%39.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 98 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 21%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G524.222.417.278.340.39937.5%16.7%46.8%93.1106.844.4%66.7%55.6%
Last 15 G1571.155.310.224.262.33733.8%15.5%35.2%92.0112.914.7%50.0%41.2%
Last 30 G30136.233.324.450.346.36828.7%10.3%32.2%91.8112.915.0%46.2%40.0%
90 days58263.258.338.489.370.39025.9%10.3%33.9%92.6112.915.3%50.3%39.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 163 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 23%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 6%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPCurveball80.798.229.654Out
Sep 24RHPFastball94.398.616.623Single
Sep 24RHPFastball102.6106.818.761Double
Sep 24RHPFastball95.6103.9371.034Out
Sep 23RHPFastball99.0103.436.959Out
Sep 23LHPSlider88.099.08.580Single
Sep 7RHPFastball98.689.238.022Out
Sep 1RHPChangeup87.178.025.582Single
Sep 1RHPChangeup88.560.6-40.117Out
Aug 30LHPChangeup90.595.811.804Out
Aug 30RHPSlider86.284.0-5.189Out
Aug 30LHPSinker94.6107.5-3.342Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24523001
Sep 23511012
Sep 7400012
Sep 2600014
Sep 1411010
Aug 30500002
Aug 29411001
Aug 28500012
Aug 27400002
Aug 26523001
FormHot
Contact rating96Top tier
Last 100 pitches98steady
wOBA / xwOBA.363 / .388running 25 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.389
Barrel%10.2%
Hard-hit%30.7%
K%25.8%
BB%11.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Shohei Ohtani · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Shohei Ohtani · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 23 vs Robbie Ray: 65.8% · 1 HSep 24 vs Nick Pivetta: 63.7% · 2 HSep 25 vs Yunior Marte: 67.9% · not settledSep 23Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 1.3. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 2BTB expected 1.3
Games with 2+ TB1 of 2BTB expected 0.9
Games with a HR0 of 2BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeAwOBA .389 · K% 25.8%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Yunior Marte67.9%47.9%24.9%not settled
Sep 24Nick Pivetta63.7%42.0%26.6%5230
Sep 23Robbie Ray65.8%43.5%22.4%5110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.