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Tim Tawa

ARI · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Tim Tawa · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.000.000.000.060.14237.5%0.0%31.2%84.3107.20.0%30.0%10.0%
Last 15 G1544.179.233.308.258.30722.7%6.8%26.2%84.5107.29.7%35.5%38.7%
Last 30 G3084.173.241.333.263.31927.4%8.3%28.2%87.8107.814.8%40.7%46.3%
90 days64198.242.290.438.336.33723.7%6.6%26.3%88.0108.212.3%47.1%37.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 138 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 19%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G34.667.7502.000.988.9770.0%25.0%20.0%102.9110.966.7%66.7%66.7%
Last 15 G1014.308.357.692.436.45928.6%7.1%34.6%93.9110.922.2%44.4%77.8%
Last 30 G1834.333.412.533.423.39426.5%11.8%29.7%94.3110.910.0%50.0%60.0%
90 days3464.271.312.390.313.30829.7%6.2%28.2%94.4110.97.5%50.0%47.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 40 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 35%Fly ball 15%Pop-up 15%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.118.158.353.255.31830.0%5.0%29.7%88.6110.915.4%38.5%23.1%
Last 15 G1558.212.263.404.302.34424.1%6.9%28.2%86.6110.912.5%37.5%47.5%
Last 30 G30118.219.291.390.309.34027.1%9.3%28.6%89.6110.913.5%43.2%50.0%
90 days66262.249.296.426.330.33025.2%6.5%26.8%89.4110.911.2%47.8%39.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 178 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 23%Fly ball 24%Pop-up 11%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball92.987.628.076Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper79.695.9-8.170Out
Sep 24RHPFastball92.6102.342.347Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper85.0107.2-24.103Out
Sep 23LHPFastball93.9105.9231.588Home run
Sep 22LHPFastball90.7110.9201.491Double
Sep 22RHPFastball93.085.32.284Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper84.084.438.014Sac fly
Sep 20RHPFastball93.389.385.000Out
Sep 20RHPFastball95.572.759.025Out
Sep 20LHPSinker88.992.0-22.129Double play
Sep 19RHPFastball97.329.6-7–Sac bunt
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24500002
Sep 23314101
Sep 22412010
Sep 20400001
Sep 19400002
Sep 18300002
Sep 16400001
Sep 14400010
Sep 13412000
Sep 12413010
FormNormal
Contact rating64Average
Last 100 pitches3trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.315 / .330results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBPower type
wOBA.315
Barrel%7.1%
Hard-hit%31.5%
K%25.4%
BB%7.0%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Tim Tawa · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Tim Tawa · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Gerrit Cole: 54.9% · no hitSep 19 vs Cam Schlittler: 51.2% · no hitSep 22 vs Kyle Freeland: 58.7% · 1 HSep 23 vs Mason Adams: 60.6% · 1 HSep 24 vs Tanner Gordon: 60.1% · no hitSep 25 vs Casey Mize: 60.9% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 5BTB expected 2.9
Games with 2+ TB2 of 5BTB expected 1.6
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeBwOBA .315 · K% 25.4%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Casey Mize60.9%35.7%13.3%not settled
Sep 24Tanner Gordon60.1%31.4%13.1%5000
Sep 23Mason Adams60.6%33.6%12.6%3141
Sep 22Kyle Freeland58.7%37.0%13.8%4120
Sep 19Cam Schlittler51.2%27.0%10.0%4000
Sep 18Gerrit Cole54.9%27.0%10.1%3000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.