Jacob Lopez

OAK · Starting pitcher · 2 starts projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next start · Sep 25 · 8:40 PM CT

Jacob LopezLHP · OAK vs HOU

4.7projected strikeouts · likely 2 to 8 · 20.9 batters over 4.9 innings

Over 4.5: 51% (red bars) · under: 49%. Chance of each exact strikeout total, from the served distribution.

K%24.5%

BB%8.0%

Whiff%12.4%

Velo83.2

BTB Stuff93

Location105

PitchUsageBTB Stuff 60 · 100 · 140VeloWhiff

Slider36%10775.316.8%

Fastball35%9290.18.7%

Cutter20%7485.910.8%

Changeup7%8181.211.7%

Other2%––11.8%

Sinker1%10089.90.0%

Last 3 startsTrending Down

Date	Pitches	K%	Whiff%	Hard-hit%	wOBA
Sep 19	63	6%	6%	50%	.700
Sep 13	102	16%	9%	32%	.559
Sep 7	93	4%	2%	23%	.367

Season numbers from the last 90 days of Statcast. BTB Stuff and Location read on a scale where 100 is league average. Recent starts are context; the projection doesn't weight them.

The gameHOU @ OAK →Sutter Health Park

The arsenal by shape

how each pitch moves

Movement in inches, from the pitch-level data. Hitter matchup pages read each hitter against pitches shaped like these.
Pitch	Family	Usage	Velo	Horizontal break	Induced vertical break
Slider	Breaking	37%	75.3	-10.4″	+3.4″
Fastball	Hard	35%	90.2	+13.7″	+12.5″
Cutter	Hard	20%	85.9	+1.1″	+8.4″
Changeup	Offspeed	7%	81.2	+17.2″	+5.0″

The lineup he faces

Jacob Lopez OAK · LHPvsHOU lineupstrikeout rate vs his hand

2 of 9 strike out more than the average hitter tonight

1Jeremy Peña28%

2Yordan Alvarez17%

3Isaac Paredes15%

4Jose Altuve21%

5Yainer Diaz22%

6Christian Walker21%

7Cam Smith25%

8Lucas Spence27%

9Jorge Barrosa20%

Strikeout rate against left-handers over the last 90 days (season rate where the split is missing). Line: tonight's average hitter, 22.5%. Red strikes out more, blue less.

Two strikes

how he finishes hitters

Jacob Lopez OAK · LHPwith two strikes

Usage, overall to two strikesOverall Two strikes

Slider+8 pts

Fastball+3 pts

Cutter-9 pts

Changeup-2 pts

Other+0 pts

Sinker-0 pts

Jacob Lopez with two strikes. Put-away: share of two-strike pitches that end the at-bat with a strikeout.
Pitch	Overall	2 strikes	Whiff%	Put-away	League put-away
Slider	37%	45%	28.2%	19.7%	21.6%
Fastball	35%	38%	17.6%	16.1%	18.6%
Cutter	20%	11%	37.5%	23.3%	17.9%
Changeup	7%	4%	9.1%	5.9%	18.3%
Other	2%	2%	0.0%	16.7%	14.3%
Sinker	1%	0%	–	0.0%	17.7%

Predicted vs what happened

Strikeouts1BTB expected 4.8 over 1 starts

BTB's side at the line0 of 1over or under the book's line

A few starts say little about the model; the market-level record is on the record.

Projection as served and frozen before first pitch; book probability de-vigged at the open.
Date	Opponent	Projected K	Book line	BTB over	Book over	Strikeouts
Sep 25	HOU	4.6	4.5	47.9%	42.4%	not settled
Sep 19	CLE	4.8	4.5	52.7%	46.4%	1