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Brandon Valenzuela

TOR · Hitter · 1 games projected since Sep 20, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Brandon Valenzuela · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G510.375.500.375.410.34810.0%20.0%31.2%91.7102.10.0%57.1%28.6%
Last 15 G1435.233.343.333.310.27217.1%14.3%27.0%87.0105.60.0%37.5%33.3%
Last 30 G2669.226.304.323.285.27427.5%10.1%28.1%85.7108.04.7%37.2%34.9%
90 days2669.226.304.323.285.27427.5%10.1%28.1%85.7108.04.7%37.2%34.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 43 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 26%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G59.222.222.222.300.17333.3%0.0%33.3%89.8105.40.0%33.3%50.0%
Last 15 G1118.125.222.125.278.30616.7%5.6%18.6%93.9107.20.0%46.2%30.8%
Last 30 G2031.107.194.107.213.25322.6%6.5%21.1%87.5107.20.0%38.1%23.8%
90 days2031.107.194.107.213.25322.6%6.5%21.1%87.5107.20.0%38.1%23.8%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 21 balls in play
Ground 57%Line drive 14%Fly ball 14%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.294.368.294.358.26521.1%10.5%32.4%90.8105.40.0%46.2%38.5%
Last 15 G1553.196.302.261.299.28317.0%11.3%23.6%89.4107.20.0%40.5%32.4%
Last 30 G28100.189.270.256.262.26826.0%9.0%25.5%86.3108.03.1%37.5%31.2%
90 days28100.189.270.256.262.26826.0%9.0%25.5%86.3108.03.1%37.5%31.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 64 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 22%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 11%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPCurveball70.570.757.041Out
Sep 23RHPSinker92.9100.0-26.077Out
Sep 23LHPSinker95.2105.3-30.075Single
Sep 23RHPSlider88.7102.1-3.346Single
Sep 20RHPFastball95.590.938.036Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup87.770.018.653Single
Sep 20LHPFastball94.2105.4-2.403Force out
Sep 16RHPSlider86.296.6-1.309Out
Sep 16RHPFastball94.182.713.691Single
Sep 16LHPFastball92.975.911.293Fielder's choice
Sep 13LHPFastball92.994.4-16.092Out
Sep 13RHPSplitter85.598.88.580Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23422000
Sep 20411010
Sep 16411010
Sep 13411002
Sep 9300002
Sep 6300000
Sep 3500021
Aug 28400010
Aug 25200000
Aug 21412001
FormNormal
Contact rating20Poor
Last 100 pitches29trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.256 / .282running 26 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.299
Barrel%4.0%
Hard-hit%25.2%
K%24.2%
BB%8.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Brandon Valenzuela · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Predicted vs what happened

1 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 1BTB expected 0.3
Games with 2+ TB0 of 1BTB expected 0.2
Games with a HR0 of 1BTB expected 0.1
Talent gradeDwOBA .299 · K% 24.2%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 20Jacob deGrom33.3%21.8%6.3%4110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.