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Cam Smith

HOU · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Cam Smith · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.143.200.214.250.22840.0%6.7%31.0%81.1110.912.5%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1440.167.250.361.291.29235.0%7.5%21.2%83.3110.913.6%36.4%36.4%
Last 30 G2874.162.230.338.261.25531.1%6.8%23.4%84.5113.48.9%33.3%33.3%
90 days61178.205.247.404.293.29126.4%4.5%24.9%87.3113.99.3%42.4%30.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 118 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 20%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 13%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.000.000.000.000.38140.0%0.0%55.6%78.7105.133.3%33.3%0.0%
Last 15 G916.125.125.312.181.30331.2%0.0%41.9%83.0105.818.2%27.3%36.4%
Last 30 G1828.111.107.296.161.29132.1%0.0%31.2%84.9105.810.5%36.8%52.6%
90 days3767.164.224.459.284.30725.4%6.0%25.2%88.5114.013.3%42.2%28.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 45 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 22%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.105.150.158.188.26640.0%5.0%36.8%80.5110.918.2%27.3%36.4%
Last 15 G1556.154.214.346.260.29533.9%5.4%27.0%83.2110.915.2%33.3%36.4%
Last 30 G30102.147.196.326.233.26531.4%4.9%25.7%84.6113.49.4%34.4%39.1%
90 days67245.194.241.419.291.29526.1%4.9%25.0%87.6114.010.4%42.3%30.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 163 balls in play
Ground 43%Line drive 20%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 15%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPSlider87.294.29.579Single
Sep 24RHPSlider85.583.948.003Out
Sep 23RHPSinker98.762.2-53.290Out
Sep 23LHPChangeup91.090.969.003Out
Sep 22RHPSlider85.063.7-4.080Error
Sep 22RHPFastball96.3110.914.809Double
Sep 22RHPSinker94.692.84.443Double play
Sep 22LHPSinker98.4105.1331.640Out
Sep 20LHPCurveball82.240.2-64.263Out
Sep 19RHPSinker95.096.229.398Out
Sep 19RHPSinker95.745.221.122Out
Sep 17LHPChangeup86.281.830.120Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24411002
Sep 23300010
Sep 22512001
Sep 20400003
Sep 19400002
Sep 17400002
Sep 16200000
Sep 15300000
Sep 13400001
Sep 12400002
FormCold
Contact rating35Below average
Last 100 pitches24trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.286 / .302running 16 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases2/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.295
Barrel%5.8%
Hard-hit%27.3%
K%26.0%
BB%5.9%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Cam Smith · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Cam Smith · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Grant Holmes: 47.5% · no hitSep 20 vs Martín Pérez: 48.2% · no hitSep 22 vs Logan Gilbert: 40.5% · 1 HSep 23 vs George Kirby: 54.5% · no hitSep 24 vs Mason Barnett: 54.7% · 1 HSep 25 vs Jacob Lopez: 59.0% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 5BTB expected 2.5
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 1.6
Games with a HR0 of 5BTB expected 0.7
Talent gradeDwOBA .295 · K% 26.0%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jacob Lopez59.0%37.9%16.3%not settled
Sep 24Mason Barnett54.7%32.4%16.0%4110
Sep 23George Kirby54.5%32.2%12.2%3000
Sep 22Logan Gilbert40.5%25.0%10.8%5120
Sep 20Martín Pérez48.2%38.0%13.5%4000
Sep 19Grant Holmes47.5%34.6%12.6%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.