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Emmanuel Rodriguez

MIN · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 17, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Emmanuel Rodriguez · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.222.364.556.473.39527.3%18.2%23.5%80.2106.816.7%16.7%33.3%
Last 15 G1129.185.241.481.334.38141.4%6.9%38.9%87.8111.126.7%46.7%46.7%
Last 30 G1129.185.241.481.334.38141.4%6.9%38.9%87.8111.126.7%46.7%46.7%
90 days1129.185.241.481.334.38141.4%6.9%38.9%87.8111.126.7%46.7%46.7%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 15 balls in play
Ground 33%Line drive 27%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.200.200.400.250.2060.0%0.0%16.7%88.598.10.0%20.0%40.0%
Last 15 G815.214.267.357.333.30413.3%6.7%16.7%93.1109.28.3%41.7%50.0%
Last 30 G815.214.267.357.333.30413.3%6.7%16.7%93.1109.28.3%41.7%50.0%
90 days815.214.267.357.333.30413.3%6.7%16.7%93.1109.28.3%41.7%50.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 12 balls in play
Ground 42%Line drive 17%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.214.312.500.403.33618.8%12.5%21.7%84.0106.89.1%18.2%36.4%
Last 15 G1244.195.250.439.334.35531.8%6.8%32.1%90.1111.118.5%44.4%48.1%
Last 30 G1244.195.250.439.334.35531.8%6.8%32.1%90.1111.118.5%44.4%48.1%
90 days1244.195.250.439.334.35531.8%6.8%32.1%90.1111.118.5%44.4%48.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 27 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 22%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 7%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPFastball92.675.956.106Out
Sep 23LHPSlider83.992.821.268Out
Sep 23RHPSinker91.987.120.564Single
Sep 22RHPChangeup87.471.3-45.176Error
Sep 21RHPFastball96.474.8-59.264Out
Sep 21RHPFastball95.1106.8301.904Home run
Sep 20RHPCutter89.557.450.026Out
Sep 20RHPSplitter85.083.678.010Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup83.598.132.529Double
Sep 20LHPChangeup77.885.7-18.070Out
Sep 19LHPFastball91.090.1-23.056Out
Sep 18RHPChangeup84.170.2-35.066Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23411010
Sep 22300011
Sep 21314101
Sep 20412000
Sep 19200001
Sep 18400003
Sep 17400003
Sep 16500011
Sep 15323000
Sep 14413002
FormNormal
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.336 / .415running 79 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Emmanuel Rodriguez · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 17 vs Walbert Ureña: 57.5% · no hitSep 18 vs Grayson Rodriguez: 55.5% · no hitSep 21 vs Blade Tidwell: 52.3% · 1 HSep 22 vs Anthony Molina: 56.1% · no hitSep 23 vs Cesar Perdomo: 58.5% · 1 HSep 25 vs Jacob deGrom: 52.2% · not settledSep 17Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 5BTB expected 2.8
Games with 2+ TB1 of 5BTB expected 1.6
Games with a HR1 of 5BTB expected 0.6
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jacob deGrom52.2%28.4%11.0%not settled
Sep 23Cesar Perdomo58.5%31.2%10.8%4110
Sep 22Anthony Molina56.1%34.2%12.9%3000
Sep 21Blade Tidwell52.3%30.6%10.8%3141
Sep 18Grayson Rodriguez55.5%32.1%12.9%4000
Sep 17Walbert Ureña57.5%32.4%12.7%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.