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Isaac Paredes

HOU · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Isaac Paredes · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G517.357.412.857.497.3405.9%11.8%3.3%82.4103.67.1%35.7%35.7%
Last 15 G1547.325.383.600.409.32514.9%10.6%9.8%86.5105.32.9%42.9%48.6%
Last 30 G3095.282.389.526.400.31911.6%14.7%10.5%87.3105.31.4%34.8%37.7%
90 days73249.272.386.461.387.3368.8%13.3%11.2%85.0106.23.3%26.1%39.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 184 balls in play
Ground 29%Line drive 22%Fly ball 31%Pop-up 17%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.250.5001.000.567.6130.0%33.3%8.3%88.3104.725.0%25.0%50.0%
Last 15 G917.214.353.857.476.44717.6%17.6%13.8%86.2104.718.2%45.5%45.5%
Last 30 G1734.185.324.519.379.31917.6%14.7%16.1%82.5104.79.1%31.8%27.3%
90 days3878.282.333.521.375.32114.1%6.4%12.2%85.6109.54.9%34.4%44.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 61 balls in play
Ground 21%Line drive 33%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 23%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G523.333.435.889.515.4114.3%17.4%4.8%83.7104.711.1%33.3%38.9%
Last 15 G1564.296.375.667.427.35715.6%12.5%10.7%86.4105.36.5%43.5%47.8%
Last 30 G30129.257.372.524.394.31913.2%14.7%11.9%86.1105.33.3%34.1%35.2%
90 days75327.274.373.477.384.33210.1%11.6%11.4%85.2109.53.7%28.2%40.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 245 balls in play
Ground 27%Line drive 25%Fly ball 29%Pop-up 19%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball92.496.635.317Home run
Sep 24RHPFastball99.089.558.008Out
Sep 24RHPCutter92.082.759.031Out
Sep 24RHPSweeper84.296.120.360Out
Sep 23RHPSweeper88.995.832.362Sac fly
Sep 23LHPFastball96.385.720.528Out
Sep 23RHPSinker99.3100.637.521Double
Sep 23RHPChangeup83.671.5-29.042Out
Sep 22RHPSplitter81.157.982.007Out
Sep 22RHPSplitter80.165.7-1.089Force out
Sep 22LHPSlider90.1104.7251.739Home run
Sep 22RHPSweeper81.081.79.396Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24514110
Sep 23512001
Sep 22525110
Sep 20400010
Sep 19425110
Sep 18422001
Sep 17411010
Sep 16400001
Sep 15400001
Sep 13414110
FormHot
Contact rating81Excellent
Last 100 pitches99trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.379 / .351running 29 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases8/12
Home run5/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAContact type
wOBA.373
Barrel%3.1%
Hard-hit%21.8%
K%11.6%
BB%11.3%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Isaac Paredes · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Isaac Paredes · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Tyler Mahle: 63.6% · 2 HSep 19 vs Grant Holmes: 62.8% · 2 HSep 20 vs Martín Pérez: 62.0% · no hitSep 22 vs Logan Gilbert: 61.0% · 2 HSep 23 vs George Kirby: 66.3% · 1 HSep 24 vs Mason Barnett: 63.1% · 1 HSep 25 vs Jacob Lopez: 66.8% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 5 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.8. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit5 of 6BTB expected 3.8
Games with 2+ TB5 of 6BTB expected 2.2
Games with a HR3 of 6BTB expected 0.6
Talent gradeAwOBA .373 · K% 11.6%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jacob Lopez66.8%41.9%14.8%not settled
Sep 24Mason Barnett63.1%34.7%13.1%5141
Sep 23George Kirby66.3%37.1%10.8%5120
Sep 22Logan Gilbert61.0%34.5%10.0%5251
Sep 20Martín Pérez62.0%38.6%10.2%4000
Sep 19Grant Holmes62.8%38.0%9.6%4251
Sep 18Tyler Mahle63.6%35.4%8.9%4220
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.