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J.P. Crawford

SEA · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
J.P. Crawford · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G516.133.188.133.156.17818.8%6.2%22.2%86.4102.50.0%33.3%16.7%
Last 15 G1438.143.211.314.232.30115.8%5.3%14.8%86.5104.56.9%27.6%31.0%
Last 30 G2873.206.301.317.281.29117.8%11.0%16.8%87.5107.13.9%31.4%27.5%
90 days45134.207.306.310.289.30220.1%11.9%15.5%89.3107.63.3%37.8%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 90 balls in play
Ground 44%Line drive 21%Fly ball 20%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.000.167.000.117.16550.0%16.7%28.6%79.097.40.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1432.222.300.333.300.27515.6%6.2%9.8%84.0103.54.3%30.4%21.7%
Last 30 G2656.222.333.289.298.27219.6%10.7%10.3%81.5103.52.8%27.8%22.2%
90 days3670.236.368.309.323.28820.0%14.3%10.5%81.9103.52.3%27.9%23.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 43 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 16%Fly ball 16%Pop-up 14%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G522.100.182.100.145.17427.3%9.1%23.5%85.3102.50.0%35.7%21.4%
Last 15 G1570.177.250.323.262.28915.7%5.7%12.5%85.4104.55.8%28.8%26.9%
Last 30 G30129.213.315.306.288.28318.6%10.9%14.1%85.0107.13.4%29.9%25.3%
90 days47204.216.327.310.300.29720.1%12.7%13.9%86.9107.63.0%34.6%30.1%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 133 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 20%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 14%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball96.479.267.003Out
Sep 24LHPSlider80.460.514.164Out
Sep 24RHPFastball93.498.038.265Out
Sep 23RHPFastball92.697.1-10.204Single
Sep 23RHPFastball97.481.356.035Out
Sep 23LHPSinker95.997.4-19.125Out
Sep 23RHPFastball93.288.025.108Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper80.490.357.005Out
Sep 22RHPSlider84.289.538.028Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper86.083.113.691Out
Sep 20RHPSlider89.758.5-11.069Out
Sep 20RHPSinker93.497.2-12.150Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24500011
Sep 23511001
Sep 22400010
Sep 20411001
Sep 19400003
Sep 18514101
Sep 16511000
Sep 15400001
Sep 14525101
Sep 13511010
FormNormal
Contact rating37Below average
Last 100 pitches0trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.297 / .302results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit8/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.316
Barrel%2.3%
Hard-hit%23.0%
K%20.0%
BB%12.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

J.P. Crawford · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

J.P. Crawford · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Gabriel Hughes: 57.5% · 1 HSep 19 vs Jose Quintana: 59.7% · no hitSep 20 vs Tomoyuki Sugano: 61.6% · 1 HSep 22 vs Cristian Javier: 53.9% · no hitSep 23 vs Ethan Pecko: 59.6% · 1 HSep 24 vs Grayson Rodriguez: 57.6% · no hitSep 18Sep 24

Hits in 3 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit3 of 6BTB expected 3.5
Games with 2+ TB1 of 6BTB expected 1.9
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 0.4
Talent gradeDwOBA .316 · K% 20.0%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 24Grayson Rodriguez57.6%26.1%6.6%5000
Sep 23Ethan Pecko59.6%30.1%7.0%5110
Sep 22Cristian Javier53.9%27.1%6.7%4000
Sep 20Tomoyuki Sugano61.6%42.2%9.2%4110
Sep 19Jose Quintana59.7%35.3%6.2%4000
Sep 18Gabriel Hughes57.5%29.9%6.0%5141
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.