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Randy Arozarena

SEA · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Randy Arozarena · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.100.400.200.317.38313.3%26.7%12.9%86.9102.812.5%50.0%37.5%
Last 15 G1438.226.368.290.313.31915.8%13.2%15.8%92.6110.04.0%56.0%24.0%
Last 30 G2983.235.373.368.339.33924.1%13.3%24.2%91.2110.06.2%43.8%37.5%
90 days73229.236.362.435.361.35222.7%10.9%25.5%90.9111.28.6%43.9%39.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 139 balls in play
Ground 45%Line drive 23%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 8%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G46.400.5001.000.600.60133.3%16.7%42.9%97.5106.833.3%66.7%33.3%
Last 15 G1329.478.5521.087.674.52417.2%13.8%20.6%91.1106.815.8%57.9%31.6%
Last 30 G2252.439.5381.024.633.47915.4%17.3%19.8%91.0108.217.6%47.1%20.6%
90 days49110.351.436.691.494.38713.6%11.8%19.2%88.7109.18.8%41.2%25.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 80 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 9%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.200.429.467.398.44519.0%23.8%22.2%89.8106.818.2%54.5%36.4%
Last 15 G1567.333.448.630.463.40416.4%13.4%18.0%92.0110.09.1%56.8%27.3%
Last 30 G30135.312.437.615.450.39220.7%14.8%22.5%91.1110.011.0%45.1%30.5%
90 days76339.274.386.519.404.36319.8%11.2%23.5%90.1111.28.7%42.9%34.2%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 219 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 18%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24RHPFastball95.4102.80.410Out
Sep 24RHPSlider82.673.237.330Double
Sep 24RHPFastball97.053.819.136Out
Sep 23RHPFastball97.186.332.054Out
Sep 23LHPFastball93.4101.19.614Single
Sep 23RHPSinker93.7100.424.795Out
Sep 20RHPChangeup85.083.034.036Out
Sep 20RHPSlider83.7100.6-4.338Out
Sep 19LHPChangeup83.9106.8352.000Home run
Sep 19RHPSweeper83.795.3-16.120Out
Sep 19LHPFastball90.784.63.295Out
Sep 18RHPCurveball79.580.411.355Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24412001
Sep 23511020
Sep 22400021
Sep 20400011
Sep 19414101
Sep 18534000
Sep 16511021
Sep 15411001
Sep 14423000
Sep 13539200
FormHot
Contact rating93Top tier
Last 100 pitches100trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.399 / .374running 25 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit10/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeBBalanced type
wOBA.381
Barrel%5.5%
Hard-hit%28.0%
K%20.8%
BB%11.0%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Randy Arozarena · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Randy Arozarena · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Gabriel Hughes: 64.0% · 3 HSep 19 vs Jose Quintana: 66.5% · 1 HSep 20 vs Tomoyuki Sugano: 71.2% · no hitSep 22 vs Cristian Javier: 61.3% · no hitSep 23 vs Ethan Pecko: 65.4% · 1 HSep 24 vs Grayson Rodriguez: 60.2% · 1 HSep 25 vs Reid Detmers: 62.7% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 4 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit4 of 6BTB expected 3.9
Games with 2+ TB3 of 6BTB expected 2.3
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 0.9
Talent gradeBwOBA .381 · K% 20.8%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Reid Detmers62.7%36.9%15.4%not settled
Sep 24Grayson Rodriguez60.2%29.3%14.5%4120
Sep 23Ethan Pecko65.4%36.6%15.6%5110
Sep 22Cristian Javier61.3%34.8%13.6%4000
Sep 20Tomoyuki Sugano71.2%52.5%18.4%4000
Sep 19Jose Quintana66.5%44.5%15.3%4141
Sep 18Gabriel Hughes64.0%35.0%12.9%5340
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.