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Josh Naylor
SEA · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.
Statcast
by window and pitcher handJosh Naylor · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 13 | .000 | .154 | .000 | .108 | .266 | 0.0% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 89.5 | 102.4 | 0.0% | 36.4% | 36.4% |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 35 | .250 | .314 | .281 | .301 | .305 | 8.6% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 89.4 | 105.6 | 3.4% | 41.4% | 44.8% |
| Last 30 G | 26 | 71 | .254 | .296 | .299 | .286 | .261 | 12.7% | 5.6% | 14.5% | 87.3 | 106.5 | 3.5% | 38.6% | 38.6% |
| 90 days | 65 | 188 | .263 | .324 | .310 | .303 | .301 | 11.2% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 87.1 | 108.5 | 1.3% | 38.3% | 37.6% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 149 balls in play
Ground 54%Line drive 23%Fly ball 17%Pop-up 7%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 4 | 8 | .125 | .125 | .125 | .112 | .358 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 86.9 | 101.3 | 14.3% | 28.6% | 42.9% |
| Last 15 G | 13 | 29 | .241 | .241 | .276 | .270 | .331 | 6.9% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 84.1 | 105.1 | 7.7% | 38.5% | 46.2% |
| Last 30 G | 24 | 56 | .255 | .268 | .273 | .265 | .316 | 8.9% | 1.8% | 12.5% | 82.2 | 105.1 | 4.1% | 24.5% | 38.8% |
| 90 days | 56 | 121 | .296 | .331 | .383 | .327 | .326 | 11.6% | 2.5% | 17.3% | 84.6 | 107.4 | 7.0% | 28.0% | 40.0% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 100 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 21%Fly ball 19%Pop-up 7%
| Window | G | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Whiff% | Avg EV | Max EV | Barrel% | Hard-hit% | Sweet-spot% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 G | 5 | 21 | .053 | .143 | .053 | .110 | .301 | 4.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 88.5 | 102.4 | 5.6% | 33.3% | 38.9% |
| Last 15 G | 15 | 64 | .246 | .281 | .279 | .287 | .317 | 7.8% | 4.7% | 12.6% | 86.9 | 105.6 | 5.5% | 40.0% | 45.5% |
| Last 30 G | 30 | 127 | .254 | .283 | .287 | .277 | .286 | 11.0% | 3.9% | 13.7% | 85.0 | 106.5 | 3.8% | 32.1% | 38.7% |
| 90 days | 73 | 309 | .276 | .327 | .339 | .312 | .311 | 11.3% | 6.1% | 15.1% | 86.1 | 108.5 | 3.6% | 34.1% | 38.6% |
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 249 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 22%Fly ball 18%Pop-up 7%
Recent contact
| Date | Pitcher | Pitch | Velo | EV | LA | xwOBA | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | RHP | Changeup | 82.6 | 96.7 | 28 | .399 | Out |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Sweeper | 79.0 | 76.3 | 25 | .674 | Out |
| Sep 24 | LHP | Fastball | 87.0 | 87.4 | -17 | .070 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Sinker | 94.8 | 79.6 | 17 | .916 | Single |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Sinker | 93.6 | 95.2 | 43 | .034 | Out |
| Sep 23 | RHP | Fastball | 96.5 | 88.0 | 71 | .000 | Out |
| Sep 23 | LHP | Fastball | 93.4 | 97.6 | -10 | .163 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Changeup | 83.5 | 94.8 | 22 | .243 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 94.5 | 58.3 | 57 | .005 | Out |
| Sep 22 | RHP | Fastball | 92.3 | 102.4 | -1 | .428 | Double play |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Sinker | 93.0 | 101.7 | 20 | .642 | Out |
| Sep 20 | RHP | Curveball | 80.8 | 84.3 | -11 | .075 | Out |
Total bases, last 10 games★ home run
| Date | PA | H | TB | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
FormHot
Contact rating64Average
Last 100 pitches30trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.312 / .330running 18 points behind his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run0/12
Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.
Talent
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.329
Barrel%3.3%
Hard-hit%28.0%
K%12.0%
BB%6.5%
A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.
xwOBA45.311
Avg EV2986.1
Max EV37108.5
Barrel%223.6%
Hard-hit%2934.1%
Sweet-spot%7838.6%
K%9611.3%
BB%236.1%
Whiff%8815.1%
Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.
Hits in 2 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 3.9. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.
Predicted vs what happened
6 settled gamesGames with a hit2 of 6BTB expected 3.9
Games with 2+ TB0 of 6BTB expected 2.2
Games with a HR0 of 6BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeNeuwOBA .329 · K% 12.0%
One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.
| Date | Facing | 1+ hit | 2+ TB | HR | PA | H | TB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | Reid Detmers | 65.0% | 34.7% | 7.6% | not settled | |||
| Sep 24 | Grayson Rodriguez | 61.0% | 29.7% | 8.1% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | Ethan Pecko | 64.4% | 34.2% | 7.3% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | Cristian Javier | 60.3% | 31.6% | 6.8% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20 | Tomoyuki Sugano | 68.1% | 46.5% | 9.7% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | Jose Quintana | 66.6% | 40.7% | 6.7% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | Gabriel Hughes | 65.8% | 36.7% | 7.3% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |