MLBengine v14
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Charles McAdoo

TOR · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 23, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

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Sep 25 · 6:07 PM CTvs Nick Lodolo LHPCIN @ TOR1+ hit 64.7%2+ TB 39.0%HR 13.0%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Charles McAdoo · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G47.143.143.143.257.19928.6%0.0%25.0%78.788.40.0%0.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1327.208.296.208.278.26522.2%11.1%26.9%79.9104.50.0%16.7%22.2%
Last 30 G1946.275.348.300.318.29326.1%10.9%22.4%81.4107.43.4%20.7%31.0%
90 days1946.275.348.300.318.29326.1%10.9%22.4%81.4107.43.4%20.7%31.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 29 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 28%Fly ball 28%Pop-up 7%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G25.250.400.500.390.47020.0%20.0%0.0%92.094.90.0%0.0%66.7%
Last 15 G815.143.200.214.190.24920.0%6.7%15.4%87.297.50.0%9.1%18.2%
Last 30 G1428.269.321.462.371.28221.4%7.1%17.6%86.6104.75.0%30.0%20.0%
90 days1428.269.321.462.371.28221.4%7.1%17.6%86.6104.75.0%30.0%20.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 20 balls in play
Ground 60%Line drive 10%Fly ball 25%Pop-up 5%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G512.182.250.273.312.31225.0%8.3%15.0%83.794.90.0%0.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1542.184.262.211.246.25921.4%9.5%23.1%82.7104.50.0%13.8%20.7%
Last 30 G2474.273.338.364.339.28924.3%9.5%20.6%83.5107.44.1%24.5%26.5%
90 days2474.273.338.364.339.28924.3%9.5%20.6%83.5107.44.1%24.5%26.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 49 balls in play
Ground 47%Line drive 20%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 6%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPFastball95.587.1-17.104Out
Sep 23RHPSlider84.194.910.689Out
Sep 20LHPChangeup85.888.432.052Out
Sep 20RHPSplitter88.293.912.860Double
Sep 20LHPChangeup86.184.54.278Double play
Sep 15LHPChangeup87.366.85.212Error
Sep 13LHPChangeup88.465.6-21.055Out
Sep 13LHPChangeup86.988.217.795Single
Sep 9LHPCurveball77.469.4-7.086Single
Sep 6LHPSlider84.980.218.931Single
Sep 6RHPSweeper80.577.7-9.086Out
Sep 4LHPSlider87.250.340.057Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23400011
Sep 20312000
Sep 15100000
Sep 13311001
Sep 11100001
Sep 9211001
Sep 6211000
Sep 4300010
Sep 2111000
Aug 30300000
FormCold
Contact rating55Average
Last 100 pitches51steady
wOBA / xwOBA.340 / .321running 19 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit6/12
2+ total bases1/12
Home run0/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeDBalanced type
wOBA.320
Barrel%4.4%
Hard-hit%23.3%
K%23.4%
BB%8.4%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Charles McAdoo · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Charles McAdoo · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 23 vs Trey Gibson: 58.9% · no hitSep 25 vs Nick Lodolo: 64.2% · not settledSep 23Sep 25

Hits in 0 of 1 settled games; the projections added up to 0.6. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

1 settled games
Games with a hit0 of 1BTB expected 0.6
Games with 2+ TB0 of 1BTB expected 0.3
Games with a HR0 of 1BTB expected 0.1
Talent gradeDwOBA .320 · K% 23.4%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Nick Lodolo64.2%37.1%10.1%not settled
Sep 23Trey Gibson58.9%30.7%9.3%4000
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.