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Luke Keaschall

MIN · Hitter · 7 games projected since Sep 17, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Luke Keaschall · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.143.200.286.213.25420.0%0.0%14.8%82.7102.39.1%18.2%36.4%
Last 15 G1342.242.405.333.346.35211.9%14.3%16.2%81.7102.33.6%21.4%28.6%
Last 30 G2788.288.409.466.402.35711.4%9.1%14.6%85.5105.14.8%30.6%30.6%
90 days66204.299.414.488.409.34011.8%10.3%14.8%84.9107.34.2%31.9%33.3%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 144 balls in play
Ground 37%Line drive 16%Fly ball 37%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G26.400.3331.200.542.4170.0%0.0%16.7%87.4102.616.7%50.0%33.3%
Last 15 G1024.364.348.545.385.3184.2%0.0%17.4%83.2102.64.3%26.1%26.1%
Last 30 G2247.295.304.409.313.31810.6%2.1%16.5%86.6105.87.3%24.4%36.6%
90 days4997.326.385.430.382.34515.5%6.2%20.1%85.7105.84.1%24.7%42.5%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 73 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 22%Fly ball 33%Pop-up 6%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G521.211.238.526.307.30114.3%0.0%15.4%84.3102.611.8%29.4%35.3%
Last 15 G1566.291.385.418.360.3409.1%9.1%16.7%82.3102.63.9%23.5%27.5%
Last 30 G30135.291.373.444.371.34311.1%6.7%15.2%85.9105.85.8%28.2%33.0%
90 days72301.308.405.468.401.34213.0%9.0%16.6%85.2107.34.1%29.5%36.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 217 balls in play
Ground 38%Line drive 18%Fly ball 36%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPChangeup87.893.133.149Sac fly
Sep 23LHPSlider85.2102.6251.331Home run
Sep 23LHPChangeup86.845.8-71.272Out
Sep 22RHPFastball96.5101.8261.262Triple
Sep 22RHPFastball96.080.530.097Out
Sep 22RHPFastball92.888.626.065Out
Sep 22RHPSweeper84.076.769.000Out
Sep 21RHPSweeper85.084.643.010Out
Sep 21RHPSlider86.067.3-6.076Out
Sep 21RHPFastball95.282.234.038Out
Sep 19LHPCurveball72.696.142.023Out
Sep 19LHPFastball95.297.710.721Double
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23414101
Sep 22413000
Sep 21400001
Sep 19512001
Sep 18411000
Sep 17511002
Sep 16633000
Sep 15433000
Sep 14500030
Sep 13422000
FormNormal
Contact rating85Excellent
Last 100 pitches30trending down
wOBA / xwOBA.397 / .359running 38 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases6/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent grade—— type
wOBA–
Barrel%–
Hard-hit%–
K%–
BB%–

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Luke Keaschall · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Luke Keaschall · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 17 vs Walbert Ureña: 65.7% · 1 HSep 18 vs Grayson Rodriguez: 67.5% · 1 HSep 19 vs Reid Detmers: 64.5% · 1 HSep 21 vs Blade Tidwell: 66.3% · no hitSep 22 vs Anthony Molina: 68.4% · 1 HSep 23 vs Cesar Perdomo: 68.3% · 1 HSep 25 vs Jacob deGrom: 67.9% · not settledSep 17Sep 25

Hits in 5 of 6 settled games; the projections added up to 4.0. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

6 settled games
Games with a hit5 of 6BTB expected 4.0
Games with 2+ TB3 of 6BTB expected 2.0
Games with a HR1 of 6BTB expected 0.5
Talent grade—wOBA – · K% –

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jacob deGrom67.9%37.9%8.6%not settled
Sep 23Cesar Perdomo68.3%34.3%8.5%4141
Sep 22Anthony Molina68.4%36.1%8.0%4130
Sep 21Blade Tidwell66.3%32.8%6.9%4000
Sep 19Reid Detmers64.5%34.0%8.9%5120
Sep 18Grayson Rodriguez67.5%34.2%8.6%4110
Sep 17Walbert Ureña65.7%31.8%7.6%5110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.