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Walker Jenkins

MIN · Hitter · 6 games projected since Sep 17, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Walker Jenkins · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G515.357.400.571.420.3520.0%6.7%12.0%82.7102.57.1%21.4%21.4%
Last 15 G1543.300.349.550.385.37218.6%7.0%18.4%89.2105.212.5%40.6%37.5%
Last 30 G2162.268.339.518.382.33816.1%9.7%20.0%87.0105.28.7%34.8%32.6%
90 days2162.268.339.518.382.33816.1%9.7%20.0%87.0105.28.7%34.8%32.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 46 balls in play
Ground 48%Line drive 17%Fly ball 26%Pop-up 9%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G25.200.200.200.180.3360.0%0.0%14.3%86.194.50.0%0.0%20.0%
Last 15 G814.083.154.083.138.24135.7%0.0%33.3%73.794.50.0%0.0%25.0%
Last 30 G1219.062.167.062.139.24736.8%5.3%40.0%77.1105.40.0%10.0%20.0%
90 days1219.062.167.062.139.24736.8%5.3%40.0%77.1105.40.0%10.0%20.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 10 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 20%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G520.316.350.474.360.3480.0%5.0%12.5%83.6102.55.3%15.8%21.1%
Last 15 G1557.250.304.442.328.34122.8%5.3%21.6%86.1105.210.0%32.5%35.0%
Last 30 G2181.222.300.417.328.31821.0%8.6%24.1%85.3105.47.1%30.4%30.4%
90 days2181.222.300.417.328.31821.0%8.6%24.1%85.3105.47.1%30.4%30.4%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 56 balls in play
Ground 46%Line drive 18%Fly ball 27%Pop-up 9%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23RHPSweeper81.496.843.050Out
Sep 23RHPCurveball78.889.06.414Single
Sep 22RHPFastball96.290.2-1.263Out
Sep 22RHPChangeup87.679.174.000Out
Sep 22RHPSlider88.594.724.261Out
Sep 22RHPFastball92.1102.5261.262Home run
Sep 21RHPFastball94.587.47.504Single
Sep 21RHPFastball95.073.7-59.261Out
Sep 21RHPSlider85.797.137.301Out
Sep 21RHPSweeper83.384.036.024Out
Sep 20RHPSweeper82.676.471.000Out
Sep 20RHPCutter91.735.84.287Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23211000
Sep 22414100
Sep 21411000
Sep 20511000
Sep 19522010
Sep 18436100
Sep 17436101
Sep 14400001
Sep 13400003
Sep 11400001
FormNormal
Contact rating58Average
Last 100 pitches100trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.312 / .325results in line with his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit7/12
2+ total bases4/12
Home run3/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.318
Barrel%5.0%
Hard-hit%24.5%
K%22.4%
BB%8.2%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Walker Jenkins · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Walker Jenkins · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 17 vs Walbert Ureña: 38.0% · 3 HSep 18 vs Grayson Rodriguez: 41.8% · 3 HSep 19 vs Reid Detmers: 40.6% · 2 HSep 21 vs Blade Tidwell: 51.9% · 1 HSep 22 vs Anthony Molina: 51.5% · 1 HSep 25 vs Jacob deGrom: 56.8% · not settledSep 17Sep 25

Hits in 5 of 5 settled games; the projections added up to 2.2. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

5 settled games
Games with a hit5 of 5BTB expected 2.2
Games with 2+ TB4 of 5BTB expected 1.4
Games with a HR3 of 5BTB expected 0.5
Talent gradeNeuwOBA .318 · K% 22.4%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Jacob deGrom56.8%31.6%10.1%not settled
Sep 22Anthony Molina51.5%33.1%10.8%4141
Sep 21Blade Tidwell51.9%34.8%10.9%4110
Sep 19Reid Detmers40.6%25.7%8.9%5220
Sep 18Grayson Rodriguez41.8%25.4%9.8%4361
Sep 17Walbert Ureña38.0%21.6%7.9%4361
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.