MLBengine v14
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Michael Arroyo

SEA · Hitter · 2 games projected since Sep 19, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Next up

Sep 25 · 9:10 PM CTvs Reid Detmers LHPLAA @ SEA1+ hit 56.7%2+ TB 32.3%HR 12.0%

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Michael Arroyo · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G35.500.600.500.500.4350.0%20.0%10.0%93.199.40.0%50.0%50.0%
Last 15 G1017.308.412.385.356.32223.5%17.6%12.5%90.6100.00.0%40.0%40.0%
Last 30 G1017.308.412.385.356.32223.5%17.6%12.5%90.6100.00.0%40.0%40.0%
90 days1017.308.412.385.356.32223.5%17.6%12.5%90.6100.00.0%40.0%40.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 10 balls in play
Ground 40%Line drive 40%Fly ball 10%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G56.000.000.000.000.21016.7%0.0%40.0%84.492.80.0%0.0%20.0%
Last 15 G914.250.357.583.396.39714.3%14.3%27.3%88.0106.010.0%30.0%40.0%
Last 30 G914.250.357.583.396.39714.3%14.3%27.3%88.0106.010.0%30.0%40.0%
90 days914.250.357.583.396.39714.3%14.3%27.3%88.0106.010.0%30.0%40.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 10 balls in play
Ground 20%Line drive 20%Fly ball 50%Pop-up 10%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.200.273.200.227.3139.1%9.1%25.0%88.399.40.0%22.2%33.3%
Last 15 G1231.280.387.480.374.35619.4%16.1%18.5%89.3106.05.0%35.0%40.0%
Last 30 G1231.280.387.480.374.35619.4%16.1%18.5%89.3106.05.0%35.0%40.0%
90 days1231.280.387.480.374.35619.4%16.1%18.5%89.3106.05.0%35.0%40.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 20 balls in play
Ground 30%Line drive 30%Fly ball 30%Pop-up 10%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 24LHPChangeup83.399.42.384Force out
Sep 24RHPSweeper85.064.536.623Out
Sep 23RHPFastball95.092.340.019Out
Sep 22RHPFastball94.992.836.073Out
Sep 20RHPSweeper82.090.233.056Out
Sep 19LHPFastball88.295.450.003Out
Sep 19LHPSinker88.990.612.763Single
Sep 19RHPChangeup82.382.211.492Double play
Sep 19LHPSinker89.986.922.327Single
Sep 18LHPCurveball76.699.52.384Double
Sep 14LHPFastball94.278.221.860Single
Sep 14LHPSlider86.389.0-16.099Out
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 24200000
Sep 23200010
Sep 22200001
Sep 20100000
Sep 19422000
Sep 18212001
Sep 15100001
Sep 14311001
Sep 13400030
Sep 12637110
FormNormal
Contact rating–percentile of xwOBA
Last 100 pitches–
wOBA / xwOBA.376 / .355running 21 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit4/12
2+ total bases3/12
Home run1/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAvgBalanced type
wOBA.321
Barrel%4.8%
Hard-hit%25.5%
K%22.5%
BB%9.1%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Michael Arroyo · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 19 vs Jose Quintana: 52.2% · 2 HSep 25 vs Reid Detmers: 55.7% · not settledSep 19Sep 25

Hits in 1 of 1 settled games; the projections added up to 0.5. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

1 settled games
Games with a hit1 of 1BTB expected 0.5
Games with 2+ TB1 of 1BTB expected 0.4
Games with a HR0 of 1BTB expected 0.1
Talent gradeNeuwOBA .321 · K% 22.5%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Reid Detmers55.7%30.4%10.2%not settled
Sep 19Jose Quintana52.2%37.8%11.6%4220
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.