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Randal Grichuk

CWS · Hitter · 3 games projected since Sep 18, 2026, every one frozen before first pitch.

Statcast

by window and pitcher hand
Randal Grichuk · last 90 daysthrough Sep 24, 2026 · windows are his last games
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G58.250.250.375.269.15012.5%0.0%9.1%88.6108.10.0%28.6%14.3%
Last 15 G1322.286.273.619.361.18627.3%0.0%33.3%89.4111.00.0%37.5%25.0%
Last 30 G2033.250.242.500.316.19727.3%0.0%26.2%88.9111.00.0%39.1%30.4%
90 days3252.255.250.471.307.20725.0%0.0%31.6%89.9111.00.0%42.1%28.9%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 38 balls in play
Ground 53%Line drive 16%Fly ball 21%Pop-up 11%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G511.333.364.778.441.4760.0%9.1%6.7%97.9109.720.0%90.0%40.0%
Last 15 G1529.480.517.800.543.5026.9%10.3%8.0%96.7109.712.5%75.0%45.8%
Last 30 G2747.419.447.814.519.43614.9%6.4%13.2%96.5109.716.2%70.3%48.6%
90 days5699.333.364.602.417.34119.2%5.1%15.0%93.4113.610.7%57.3%36.0%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 75 balls in play
Ground 35%Line drive 25%Fly ball 23%Pop-up 17%
WindowGPAAVGOBPSLGwOBAxwOBAK%BB%Whiff%Avg EVMax EVBarrel%Hard-hit%Sweet-spot%
Last 5 G519.294.316.588.368.3385.3%5.3%7.7%94.1109.711.8%64.7%29.4%
Last 15 G1551.391.412.717.465.36615.7%5.9%19.1%93.8111.07.5%60.0%37.5%
Last 30 G3080.347.362.680.437.33920.0%3.8%18.4%93.6111.010.0%58.3%41.7%
90 days61151.306.325.556.380.29521.2%3.3%20.4%92.2113.67.1%52.2%33.6%
Batted-ball mix, 90 days · 113 balls in play
Ground 41%Line drive 22%Fly ball 22%Pop-up 15%

Recent contact

Last 12 balls in play. Hard hit is 95+ mph; the sweet spot is a launch angle of 8 to 32 degrees.
DatePitcherPitchVeloEVLAxwOBAResult
Sep 23LHPFastball96.8101.651.029Out
Sep 23RHPSinker100.689.8-48.120Out
Sep 22LHPCurveball83.8105.2291.694Home run
Sep 22LHPFastball92.7109.717.906Double
Sep 22RHPFastball92.099.116.623Double
Sep 22LHPSlider88.5100.21.446Single
Sep 20RHPSplitter85.682.239.008Out
Sep 20LHPCutter88.797.638.265Out
Sep 20LHPFastball92.096.120.360Sac fly
Sep 18RHPCurveball84.566.7-20.050Out
Sep 18LHPFastball94.598.822.483Out
Sep 18RHPSlider90.7108.1-5.373Single
Last 10 games.
DatePAHTBHRBBK
Sep 23200000
Sep 22549101
Sep 20300000
Sep 18511000
Sep 17400010
Sep 16524001
Sep 15511001
Sep 14211000
Sep 12414102
Sep 11423001
FormHot
Contact rating44Below average
Last 100 pitches94trending up
wOBA / xwOBA.373 / .310running 63 points ahead of his contact
Last 12 games, oldest to newest
Hit9/12
2+ total bases5/12
Home run2/12

Context only. Streaks and hot or cold labels don't move a projection: in our tests recent results didn't predict the next two weeks better than the season.

Talent
Talent gradeAPower type
wOBA.339
Barrel%6.5%
Hard-hit%37.5%
K%21.2%
BB%4.5%

A season-level read, blending this season with last, shrunk toward league where the sample is thin.

Randal Grichuk · percentile ranksvs 304 hitters on the slate with 60+ PA · last 90 days

Right is always better for the hitter: K% and whiff are ranked low-to-high. Context only; a percentile isn't a projection.

Randal Grichuk · every 1+ hit projection, frozen pre-gameHitNo hitNot settled
30%50%70%90%Sep 18 vs Andrew Sears: 64.1% · 1 HSep 22 vs Daniel Lynch IV: 63.7% · 4 HSep 25 vs Tomoyuki Sugano: 66.0% · not settledSep 18Sep 25

Hits in 2 of 2 settled games; the projections added up to 1.3. A handful of games says little about the model on its own.

Predicted vs what happened

2 settled games
Games with a hit2 of 2BTB expected 1.3
Games with 2+ TB1 of 2BTB expected 0.8
Games with a HR1 of 2BTB expected 0.2
Talent gradeAwOBA .339 · K% 21.2%

One player's handful of games says little about the model; the market-level record is on the record. A game he never batted in is void, not a miss.

DateFacing1+ hit2+ TBHRPAHTBHR
Sep 25Tomoyuki Sugano66.0%40.2%12.7%not settled
Sep 22Daniel Lynch IV63.7%42.9%11.1%5491
Sep 18Andrew Sears64.1%40.5%12.5%5110
Probabilities as served and frozen before first pitch.